Leicester City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leicester City played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Leicester City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Watford: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leicester City scores 1.41 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Watford scores 1.41 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leicester City 73%, Watford 73%. Over 2.5: Leicester City 59%, Watford 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.37. Leicester City: 12.2 shots per match, Watford: 14.1.

Match halves

Leicester City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.73. Watford: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Leicester City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Leicester CityWatford
9Shots13
Leicester CityWatford
2Shots on target3
Leicester CityWatford
1.1xG1.3
Leicester CityWatford
5Corners6
Leicester CityWatford
53Dangerous attacks37
Leicester CityWatford
14Fouls8
Leicester CityWatford
3Cards2
Leicester CityWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Leicester CityWatford
1.41Goals scored / match1.41
Leicester CityWatford
1.41Goals conceded / match1.27
Leicester CityWatford
53%Average possession52%
Leicester CityWatford
3.95Shots on target / match4.91
Leicester CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.23Shots per match14.14
Leicester CityWatford
3.95Shots on target4.91
Leicester CityWatford
11.5%Shot conversion10%
Leicester CityWatford
53%Possession52%
Leicester CityWatford
1.37xG for1.54
Leicester CityWatford
1.46xG against1.37
Leicester CityWatford

Shooting quality

Leicester City: BalancedWatford: Attacking
Leicester CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Watford is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.6 pts / match - Watford

Leicester City
LWDWL
Season result split
36% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-7
1.41 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Watford
LWDDW
Season result split
36% W36% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-6
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Watford is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Leicester City · 1.27 goals / match - Watford

Leicester City scoring profile: very strong

Leicester City scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

31Goals scored (season)31
Leicester CityWatford
31Goals conceded (season)28
Leicester CityWatford
2.82Average goals in match2.68
Leicester CityWatford
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Leicester CityWatford
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Leicester CityWatford

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
Leicester CityWatford
45%2 goals45%
Leicester CityWatford
14%3 goals14%
Leicester CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Leicester CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal91%
Leicester CityWatford
36%2 goals32%
Leicester CityWatford
14%3 goals5%
Leicester CityWatford
5%4 goals0%
Leicester CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time36%
Leicester CityWatford
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Leicester CityWatford
18%Scored in both halves14%
Leicester CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Leicester CityWatford
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Leicester CityWatford
100%BTTS - last 580%
Leicester CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Leicester CityWatford
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Leicester CityWatford
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Leicester CityWatford

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Leicester CityWatford
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
Leicester CityWatford
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Leicester CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leicester City is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.05 pts / match - Watford

Leicester City - half-time state
41% leading14% draw45% trailing
Watford - half-time state
23% leading36% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.05
Leicester CityWatford
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Leicester CityWatford
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.91
Leicester CityWatford
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.55
Leicester CityWatford
55%Clean sheet before half-time27%
Leicester CityWatford
55%No goal before half-time55%
Leicester CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.77
Leicester CityWatford
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Leicester CityWatford
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Leicester CityWatford
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Leicester CityWatford
50%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Leicester CityWatford
45%No goal after half-time50%
Leicester CityWatford

Leicester City - second-half results

45% W23% D32% L
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

50% W27% D23% L
23
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Leicester City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leicester City
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
4
6
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
6
0
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leicester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Leicester CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.822.63 2.68
Both teams scored 73%59% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%51% 55%
Clean sheets 14%23% 9%
Goal before half-time 86%74% 82%
Goal after half-time 86%78% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Leicester CityGoalJordan JamesAssist: Jordan Pierre Ayew
  2. Leicester CityYellow cardIssahaku Abdul Fatawu
  3. Leicester CityYellow cardOliver William Skipp
  4. WatfordGoalOthmane MaammaAssist: Imran Louza
  5. WatfordYellow cardImran Louza
  6. WatfordYellow cardHector Kyprianou
  7. Leicester CityYellow cardStephy Alvaro Mavididi
  8. WatfordGoalMatthew PollockAssist: Imran Louza
  9. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Nestory IrankundaOff: Thomas Ince
  10. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Jeremy MongaOff: Stephy Alvaro Mavididi
  11. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Aaron RamseyOff: Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid
  12. WatfordSubstitutionOn: James MorrisOff: Giorgi Chakvetadze

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joshua SmithMatches officiated: 23
3.96Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins22%Draws35%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Leicester City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Leicester City 1:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Watford?

Leicester City score 1.41 goals per game on average and Watford 1.41. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Leicester City's matches and 73% of Watford's.

What form are Leicester City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Watford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.