Lens vs Le Havre: match statistics
Lens displays impressive home form with 89% of matches won at their own stadium and a goal difference of +13. The hosts have won four of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Le Havre performs very poorly on the road—only 11% wins, a staggering 56% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. The guests have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches and failed to find the net in 56% of their away fixtures. xG statistics also favor Lens (1.69 vs 1.07), while possession averages and shot efficiency confirm the hosts' advantage. Taking all these factors into account, a Lens victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Lens vs Le Havre: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lens played Le Havre in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lens: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Le Havre: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lens scores 1.74 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Le Havre scores 0.84 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lens 47%, Le Havre 47%. Over 2.5: Lens 63%, Le Havre 37%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.28. Lens: 13.9 shots per match, Le Havre: 11.2.
Match halves
Lens: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.00. Le Havre: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Lens: 76-90+ (9 goals). Le Havre: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lens displays impressive home form with 89% of matches won at their own stadium and a goal difference of +13. The hosts have won four of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Le Havre performs very poorly on the road—only 11% wins, a staggering 56% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. The guests have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches and failed to find the net in 56% of their away fixtures. xG statistics also favor Lens (1.69 vs 1.07), while possession averages and shot efficiency confirm the hosts' advantage. Taking all these factors into account, a Lens victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lens | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Lens · 1.2 pts / match - Le Havre
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Lens · 0.84 goals / match - Le Havre
Lens is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Lens · 1.26 goals / match - Le Havre
Lens scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Le Havre scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lens
Over / Under - Le Havre
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Lens · 0.89 pts / match - Le Havre
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Le Havre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lens
Le Havre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lens | Liga | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lens 1 - 0 - 0 Le Havre. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lens vs Le Havre?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lens 1:0 Le Havre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lens vs Le Havre?
Lens score 1.74 goals per game on average and Le Havre 0.84. The Ligue 1 average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Lens's matches and 47% of Le Havre's.
What form are Lens and Le Havre in?
Over the last 5 games Lens have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Le Havre 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lens vs Le Havre?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lens vs Le Havre: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.