Lens vs Metz: match statistics
Lens are the clear favorites in this match, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 83% wins at home and just 17% losses at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate excellent attacking form, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per match with an xG of 1.66, and their streak of 5 consecutive home victories confirms their dominance. Metz are in 18th position with a catastrophic away record – 83% losses, an average of 2.83 goals conceded per match, and a dramatic streak of 6 defeats in their last 7 away matches. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.66 vs 0.89) and the goal difference (-22 for the visitors) further highlight the gap between the teams. Given such a significant disparity in quality and form, a Lens victory is the most likely scenario, although the hosts' poor defensive efficiency (0.67 goals conceded per match at home) could give the visitors a marginal chance to score.
Lens vs Metz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lens played Metz in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lens: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Metz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lens scores 1.88 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Metz scores 0.92 and concedes 2.21. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lens 50%, Metz 50%. Over 2.5: Lens 63%, Metz 58%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.07. Lens: 14.5 shots per match, Metz: 9.4.
Match halves
Lens: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.08. Metz: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Lens: 76-90+ (12 goals). Metz: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lens are the clear favorites in this match, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 83% wins at home and just 17% losses at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate excellent attacking form, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per match with an xG of 1.66, and their streak of 5 consecutive home victories confirms their dominance. Metz are in 18th position with a catastrophic away record – 83% losses, an average of 2.83 goals conceded per match, and a dramatic streak of 6 defeats in their last 7 away matches. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.66 vs 0.89) and the goal difference (-22 for the visitors) further highlight the gap between the teams. Given such a significant disparity in quality and form, a Lens victory is the most likely scenario, although the hosts' poor defensive efficiency (0.67 goals conceded per match at home) could give the visitors a marginal chance to score.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lens | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lens · 0.2 pts / match - Metz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 104% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Lens · 0.92 goals / match - Metz
Lens is 151% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Lens · 2.21 goals / match - Metz
Lens scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Metz scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lens
Over / Under - Metz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 143% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Lens · 0.67 pts / match - Metz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lens
Metz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lens | Liga | Metz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lens 0 - 0 - 1 Metz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lens vs Metz?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lens 3:0 Metz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lens vs Metz?
Lens score 1.88 goals per game on average and Metz 0.92. The Ligue 1 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lens's matches and 50% of Metz's.
What form are Lens and Metz in?
Over the last 5 games Lens have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Metz 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lens vs Metz?
The statistical background for Lens vs Metz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.