Lens vs PSG: match statistics
Lens vs PSG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lens played PSG in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Lens: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. PSG: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lens scores 1.94 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. PSG scores 2.22 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lens 53%, PSG 41%. Over 2.5: Lens 66%, PSG 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.77. Lens: 16.3 shots per match, PSG: 18.2.
Match halves
Lens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.22. PSG: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
Lens: 46-60 (15 goals). PSG: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Lens win 88% of matches at home and concede on average only 0.69 goals per game, while PSG win 67% away and concede on average 1.00 goal. The last five matches for both teams look almost identical — 3 wins and 2 draws each, 12 goals scored and 7 conceded — so home advantage for Lens will be decisive. Lens score on average 2.19 goals at home with xG 1.94 and 6.19 shots on target, while PSG score 2.00 goals away with xG 1.93 and 6.87 shots on target, showing comparable offensive potential. Additionally, Lens have only 6% of home games without scoring versus 13% for PSG away and 50% clean sheets at home compared to 40% for PSG, giving the hosts an edge in attacking and defensive stability. Based on this I assess the probabilities as 48% for Lens, 24% for a draw and 28% for PSG.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches Lens have a BTTS rate of 80% while PSG have 60%, with both teams scoring 12 goals in their last five fixtures (2.4 goals per game) and conceding 7 each (1.4). On the season Lens however show only 35% BTTS and a high clean sheets rate of 65% with an average of 0.71 goals conceded, whereas PSG have a seasonal BTTS of 47% and average 1.0 conceded per game. Chance-creation data supports the BTTS scenario: xG in the last 5 matches is 2.46 for Lens and 2.04 for PSG, and average shots per game are 20.18 vs 16.0 with 7.0 vs 6.87 shots on target. Season percentages of matches over 2.5 goals are 71% for Lens and 53% for PSG, and the league BTTS level is 51%, which together with form suggests an environment conducive to both teams scoring. Considering the prevailing current signal from the last 5 matches (80% vs 60%) plus high xG and shot volumes, I tip BTTS 'Yes' at 70% probability versus 30% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lens scores an average of 2.41 goals per game (xG 2.31) and concedes 0.71, while PSG scores 2.00 goals per game (xG 1.93) and concedes 1.00, indicating an offensive approach from both sides. Averaging one team’s attacking xG with the other’s defensive xG yields about 1.64 goals for Lens ((2.31 + 0.97)/2) and 1.41 for PSG ((1.93 + 0.88)/2), totaling ~3.05 goals. Seasonal percentages support this expectation: Lens has 71% of matches over 2.5, PSG 53% (average ~62%), and over 1.5 are 82% and 67% respectively (average ~75%). In the last 5 matches both teams scored an average of 2.4 goals each (xG 2.46 for Lens and 2.04 for PSG) and the over 2.5 rate in the last 5 matches was 60% for both, further reinforcing a minimum 2–3 goal perspective. Based on this I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal (over 1.5), with moderate support for over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Lens leading at half-time and winning the match). Lens led at the break in 59% of home games and scored an average of 1.0 goals by half-time, and their average home xG is 2.31 versus PSG’s 1.93 away xG, which indicates a home advantage in chance creation. The hosts have 65% clean sheets at home and concede an average of 0.71 goals per game (0.41 by half-time), while PSG have 40% clean sheets away and concede an average of 1.0 goal, so the visitors may struggle to overturn a deficit. Lens averages 20.18 shots and 7.0 on target per game compared to PSG’s 16 and 6.87, and the hosts’ 76% home win rate versus PSG’s 67% win rate further supports maintaining the lead to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lens | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Lens · 2 pts / match - PSG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Lens · 2.22 goals / match - PSG
PSG is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Lens · 0.84 goals / match - PSG
Lens scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 53% (17 of 32 matches).
PSG scores in 94% of matches (30 of 32 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lens
Over / Under - PSG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Lens · 1.91 pts / match - PSG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lens
PSG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lens | Liga | PSG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lens 0 - 0 - 1 PSG. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lens vs PSG?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lens 0:2 PSG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lens vs PSG?
Lens score 1.94 goals per game on average and PSG 2.22. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Lens's matches and 41% of PSG's.
What form are Lens and PSG in?
Over the last 5 games Lens have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and PSG 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lens vs PSG?
The statistical background for Lens vs PSG — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.