Lens vs Rennes: match statistics
Lens are showing impressive home form with a 90% win rate and a streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 0.4, which translates to a +14 goal difference in home games. Rennes, on the other hand, are struggling with serious away problems – only a 30% win rate on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and disastrous recent form with three losses in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor Lens (1.68 vs 1.15), and the difference in defensive efficiency (60% clean sheets for Lens vs 30% for Rennes) further supports the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, a Lens victory appears to be the most likely scenario for this match.
Lens vs Rennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lens played Rennes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Lens: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Rennes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lens scores 1.70 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Rennes scores 1.50 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lens 45%, Rennes 55%. Over 2.5: Lens 60%, Rennes 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. Lens: 14.0 shots per match, Rennes: 13.3.
Match halves
Lens: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95. Rennes: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Lens: 76-90+ (9 goals). Rennes: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lens are showing impressive home form with a 90% win rate and a streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 0.4, which translates to a +14 goal difference in home games. Rennes, on the other hand, are struggling with serious away problems – only a 30% win rate on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and disastrous recent form with three losses in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor Lens (1.68 vs 1.15), and the difference in defensive efficiency (60% clean sheets for Lens vs 30% for Rennes) further supports the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, a Lens victory appears to be the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lens | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Lens · 1.4 pts / match - Rennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Lens · 1.5 goals / match - Rennes
Lens is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Lens · 1.55 goals / match - Rennes
Lens scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Rennes scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lens
Over / Under - Rennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Lens · 1.4 pts / match - Rennes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lens
Rennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lens | Liga | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lens 0 - 1 - 0 Rennes. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lens vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lens 3:1 Rennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lens vs Rennes?
Lens score 1.70 goals per game on average and Rennes 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Lens's matches and 55% of Rennes's.
What form are Lens and Rennes in?
Over the last 5 games Lens have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Rennes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lens vs Rennes?
The statistical background for Lens vs Rennes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.