León vs América: match statistics
León vs América: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
León played América in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
León: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. América: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
León scores 1.03 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. América scores 1.53 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: León 50%, América 53%. Over 2.5: León 53%, América 47%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
América has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.39. León: 13.0 shots per match, América: 14.6.
Match halves
León: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53. América: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
León: 31-45+ (9 goals). América: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
León has a clear form advantage — winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.4 points per game over that period, while América in their last 5 has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss and only 1.2 points per game. León scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches versus América’s 4; at home León averages 1.5 goals per game (xG 1.49) compared to América’s 1.29 away (xG 1.39), and the hosts average 4.69 shots on target per match versus the visitors’ 3.82. Defensively América has the better seasonal record — 35 goals conceded versus León’s 56 — and concedes 1.12 goals per game away while León concedes 1.44 at home, giving América a defensive edge. However, finishing stats may be decisive: León have failed to score at home in only 13% of matches, while América have been goalless in 35% of their away games, which increases the hosts’ likelihood of scoring. Considering León’s 4 consecutive wins, higher number of shots on target and lower risk of a goalless game, I favor León to win, although América have more wins this season (17 vs 10) and 52 goals scored.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 53% (León 53% and América 53%), while the league BTTS level is 59%, indicating BTTS occurs more often than average in the competition. A contrasting signal comes from clean sheets: León keeps them in 41% of home matches, América in only 24%; assuming independence, the probability that at least one team keeps a clean sheet is about 55% (0.41+0.24-0.41*0.24≈0.552), which reduces the theoretical BTTS to roughly 45%. On the other hand, attacking metrics and xG favor both teams scoring: León generates xG 1.92 with 6.41 shots on target and 16.94 shots overall, América has xG_for 1.39 with 3.82 shots on target and 12.18 shots total, and xG_against is 1.21 (América) and 1.00 (León), giving a combined xG of about 3.31 and suggesting spaces for goals from both sides. Recent form over the last 5 matches is mixed: León has BTTS in 40% of last 5 (8 scored and 7 conceded, avg 1.6/1.4), América has 60% BTTS in last 5 (4 scored and 4 conceded, avg 0.8/0.8), which in practice gives a slight edge toward both teams scoring. Weighing the league level 59%, the teams’ season rates of 53%, León’s stronger xG 1.92 versus América 1.39, and the clean sheet risk 41%/24%, I assign BTTS 58% and NO BTTS 42% and recommend the tip 'BTTS - Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model estimates 1.57 xG for León (xG attack 1.92 vs average xG conceded to away teams 1.21, mean ≈1.57) and 1.20 xG for América (1.39 attack vs 1.00 home defense, ≈1.20), for a combined 2.77 xG. León averages 16.94 shots and 6.41 shots on target per match, while América averages 12.18 shots and 3.82 on target; with conversion rates of 10% vs 11% the hosts generate more high-quality opportunities. Season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 88% for León and 71% for América, and the league averages 2.9 goals per match with 55% of matches over 2.5, which favors overs. A Poisson distribution with total xG 2.77 yields approximately a 76% probability for Over 1.5, about 52% for Over 2.5 and around 30% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I recommend taking Over at the 1.5 line) due to León’s offensive edge (averaging 1.76 goals scored) combined with the high seasonal frequency of matches >1.5 (88%) and the model result (~76%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
León is the clear favorite: at home they win 71% of matches, average 1.76 goals per game and xG 1.92 versus América with xG 1.39 and 29% away wins. The hosts led at the break in 8 matches (47%) while the visitors did so in only 2 (12%), with León conceding an average 0.29 goals by half-time versus 0.71 conceded by América, indicating a home advantage in the first 45 minutes. León generates 16.94 shots and 6.41 shots on target per game versus 12.18 and 3.82 for América, confirming greater attacking threat from the hosts and higher chances of maintaining a lead. In the last 5 matches León has 4 wins (80%) and a half-time goals average of 0.8 vs 0.4 for América; therefore I assess the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of leading at the break and winning the match for the hosts (1/1) as the strongest signal, with an approximate probability of ~42%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| León | América | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
León is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - León · 1.6 pts / match - América
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - León · 1.53 goals / match - América
América is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - León · 1.03 goals / match - América
León scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while América keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
América scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while León keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - León
Over / Under - América
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
América is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - León · 1.35 pts / match - América
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
León - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
América - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
León
América
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| León | Liga | América | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.78 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: León 0 - 0 - 1 América. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of León vs América?
The Liga MX match finished León 2:3 América. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before León vs América?
León score 1.03 goals per game on average and América 1.53. The Liga MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of León's matches and 53% of América's.
What form are León and América in?
Over the last 5 games León have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and América 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for León vs América?
The statistical background for León vs América — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.