León vs Necaxa: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. León shows poor home form with just a 33% win rate at home and a -1 goal difference; however, Necaxa has even worse away stats with 58% losses and a disastrous -11 goal difference. Both teams have similar xG metrics (León 1.29 vs Necaxa 1.5) and possession figures (50% vs 48%), suggesting a comparable level of play. León has won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Necaxa has secured 2 victories in that period, giving the visitors a slight form advantage. Considering both teams' weak defense (León concedes 1.5 goals on average at home, Necaxa 2.42 away) and the fact that Necaxa hasn't kept a single clean sheet on the road this season, I expect a goal-filled draw as the most probable outcome.
León vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
León play Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 02:06. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
León: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Necaxa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
León scores 1.06 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Necaxa scores 1.26 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: León 53%, Necaxa 62%. Over 2.5: León 56%, Necaxa 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.43. León: 13.3 shots per match, Necaxa: 14.0.
Match halves
León: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Necaxa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
León: 31-45+ (12 goals). Necaxa: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. León shows poor home form with just a 33% win rate at home and a -1 goal difference; however, Necaxa has even worse away stats with 58% losses and a disastrous -11 goal difference. Both teams have similar xG metrics (León 1.29 vs Necaxa 1.5) and possession figures (50% vs 48%), suggesting a comparable level of play. León has won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Necaxa has secured 2 victories in that period, giving the visitors a slight form advantage. Considering both teams' weak defense (León concedes 1.5 goals on average at home, Necaxa 2.42 away) and the fact that Necaxa hasn't kept a single clean sheet on the road this season, I expect a goal-filled draw as the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| León | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
León is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - León · 1 pts / match - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - León · 1.26 goals / match - Necaxa
Necaxa is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - León · 1.68 goals / match - Necaxa
León scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
Necaxa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while León keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — León
Over / Under — Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
León is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - León · 1.03 pts / match - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
León - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
León
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| León | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.91 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: León 1 - 0 - 0 Necaxa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of León vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished León 2:1 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before León vs Necaxa?
León score 1.06 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.26. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of León's matches and 62% of Necaxa's.
What form are León and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games León have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Necaxa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for León vs Necaxa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for León vs Necaxa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.