Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante demonstrates clearly better form and statistics than Leones Negros. The hosts have not secured a single win in their last five matches, averaging only 0.4 points per game, while the visitors have earned 1.4 points per game with two victories. Atlante has a significantly better goal difference this season (45 goals scored to 18 conceded) and an advantage in possession (60% vs 50%). The difference in efficiency is also evident in shot conversion – 16% for Atlante compared to 10% for the hosts. Although Leones Negros are playing at home, their poor form and negative goal balance in recent matches point towards an away win.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Atlante: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.27 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Atlante scores 2.05 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 50%, Atlante 41%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 41%, Atlante 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.56. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.4 shots per match, Atlante: 17.3.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Atlante: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.23.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (7 goals). Atlante: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante demonstrates clearly better form and statistics than Leones Negros. The hosts have not secured a single win in their last five matches, averaging only 0.4 points per game, while the visitors have earned 1.4 points per game with two victories. Atlante has a significantly better goal difference this season (45 goals scored to 18 conceded) and an advantage in possession (60% vs 50%). The difference in efficiency is also evident in shot conversion – 16% for Atlante compared to 10% for the hosts. Although Leones Negros are playing at home, their poor form and negative goal balance in recent matches point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlante is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.4 pts / match - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.05 goals / match - Atlante
Atlante is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.82 goals / match - Atlante
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Atlante scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.45 pts / match - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.77 | 2.91 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJoél Gustavo Pérez ValleAssist: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0 - 0 - 1 Atlante. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.27 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.05. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 41% of Atlante's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlante 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante?
The statistical background for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.