Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Leones Negros show solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive streak of four wins in their last five overall matches (PPG 2.4). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, indicating offensive efficiency. Tampico Madero has an excellent overall record (12-7-1), but displays significantly weaker form on the road with 60% draws and only 30% wins, scoring just 0.9 goals on average per away match. The visitors are characterized by defensive stability (0.7 goals conceded away), suggesting the hosts may struggle to break down their defense. Considering Leones Negros' high home efficiency and Tampico's tendency to draw away, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although the hosts have a realistic chance of victory due to home advantage.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. CDS Tampico Madero: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.31 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.55 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 50%, CDS Tampico Madero 60%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 38%, CDS Tampico Madero 45%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.48. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 11.7 shots per match, CDS Tampico Madero: 13.4.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.75. CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 76-90+ (7 goals). CDS Tampico Madero: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leones Negros show solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive streak of four wins in their last five overall matches (PPG 2.4). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, indicating offensive efficiency. Tampico Madero has an excellent overall record (12-7-1), but displays significantly weaker form on the road with 60% draws and only 30% wins, scoring just 0.9 goals on average per away match. The visitors are characterized by defensive stability (0.7 goals conceded away), suggesting the hosts may struggle to break down their defense. Considering Leones Negros' high home efficiency and Tampico's tendency to draw away, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although the hosts have a realistic chance of victory due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CDS Tampico Madero is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.6 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CDS Tampico Madero is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.55 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.85 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CDS Tampico Madero is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.75 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJuan Jesús Brigido ChenAssist: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalAlejandro de Jesús Bravo SantiagoAssist: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJoél Gustavo Pérez ValleAssist: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Jonathan Alejandro Sánchez HernándezOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1 - 0 - 2 CDS Tampico Madero. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 4:1 CDS Tampico Madero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CDS Tampico Madero?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 1, CDS Tampico Madero won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.31 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.55. The Ascenso MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 60% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The statistical background for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.