Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara present significantly better form and home statistics, winning 56% of home matches with an average of 1.89 goals per game. In their last five matches, the hosts have earned 1.8 points per game, winning three of them. Correcaminos UAT is in dreadful away form, losing as many as 50% of away matches and conceding an average of 2.63 goals while scoring just 1. In their last five games, the visitors have not achieved a single victory, earning only 0.2 points per match and scoring a mere 1 goal. The goal difference (+7 for the hosts at home versus -13 for the visitors away) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 0.99) further confirm the clear superiority of Leones Negros. Considering all parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this fixture.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.44 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.00 and concedes 2.56. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 56%, Correcaminos UAT 63%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 44%, Correcaminos UAT 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.17. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 11.9 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 9.4.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 76-90+ (7 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara present significantly better form and home statistics, winning 56% of home matches with an average of 1.89 goals per game. In their last five matches, the hosts have earned 1.8 points per game, winning three of them. Correcaminos UAT is in dreadful away form, losing as many as 50% of away matches and conceding an average of 2.63 goals while scoring just 1. In their last five games, the visitors have not achieved a single victory, earning only 0.2 points per match and scoring a mere 1 goal. The goal difference (+7 for the hosts at home versus -13 for the visitors away) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 0.99) further confirm the clear superiority of Leones Negros. Considering all parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.2 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.56 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 412% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.25 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Carlos Ernesto Cisneros BarajasOff: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Raúl Erasmo Camacho LastraOff: Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1 - 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0:0 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.44 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 63% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Correcaminos UAT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.