Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Leones Negros show solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match. However, Mineros Zacatecas have very poor away form – as many as 50% losses and only 25% wins, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unfavorable: the hosts are without a win in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), the visitors slightly better with 1.4 points per match. The high draw rate of the hosts (42% at home) and the defensive issues of both teams suggest that the match could end in a draw, although the hosts have a better chance of capitalizing on the home advantage.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Mineros de Zacatecas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 52%, Mineros de Zacatecas 60%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 40%, Mineros de Zacatecas 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.51. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.2 shots per match, Mineros de Zacatecas: 13.5.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (8 goals). Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Leones Negros show solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match. However, Mineros Zacatecas have very poor away form – as many as 50% losses and only 25% wins, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unfavorable: the hosts are without a win in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), the visitors slightly better with 1.4 points per match. The high draw rate of the hosts (42% at home) and the defensive issues of both teams suggest that the match could end in a draw, although the hosts have a better chance of capitalizing on the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.4 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.56 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.64 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.68 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Mineros de Zacatecas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalDenilson Saaid Muñoz BustamanteAssist: Raúl Erasmo Camacho Lastra
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Óscar Gil VázquezOff: Carlos Ernesto Cisneros Barajas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0 - 0 - 1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1:3 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.20 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 60% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Mineros de Zacatecas in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.