Leopards vs Shabana: match statistics
Leopards are displaying impressive form with a five-match winning streak and a season record of 10-6-2, which positions them as the favorites for this encounter. The home team has been particularly strong in recent weeks, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 2 in their last five matches. Shabana, despite decent form (3 wins, 2 draws in their last 5 matches), has a significantly weaker away record with 56% draws and only 44% wins on the road. A key factor is also Leopards' solid defense, which at home concedes an average of only 0.63 goals per game with a 38% clean sheet rate. Considering the form advantage, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity of the hosts, I expect a Leopards victory, although Shabana has the potential to make life difficult for the favorites, hence a considerable probability of a draw.
Leopards vs Shabana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leopards played Shabana in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Leopards: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Shabana: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leopards scores 1.20 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. Shabana scores 1.25 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leopards 35%, Shabana 45%. Over 2.5: Leopards 30%, Shabana 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Shabana has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.38. Leopards: 8.5 shots per match, Shabana: 10.4.
Match halves
Leopards: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.45. Shabana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Leopards: 0-15 (13 goals). Shabana: 0-15 (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are displaying impressive form with a five-match winning streak and a season record of 10-6-2, which positions them as the favorites for this encounter. The home team has been particularly strong in recent weeks, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 2 in their last five matches. Shabana, despite decent form (3 wins, 2 draws in their last 5 matches), has a significantly weaker away record with 56% draws and only 44% wins on the road. A key factor is also Leopards' solid defense, which at home concedes an average of only 0.63 goals per game with a 38% clean sheet rate. Considering the form advantage, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity of the hosts, I expect a Leopards victory, although Shabana has the potential to make life difficult for the favorites, hence a considerable probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leopards | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leopards is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Leopards · 2.2 pts / match - Shabana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - Leopards · 0.9 goals / match - Shabana
Leopards scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Shabana scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 55% (11 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leopards
Over / Under - Shabana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shabana is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Leopards · 1.45 pts / match - Shabana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leopards
Shabana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leopards | Liga | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 35% | 29% | • 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leopards 1 - 0 - 0 Shabana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leopards vs Shabana?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Leopards 5:1 Shabana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Shabana?
Leopards score 1.20 goals per game on average and Shabana 1.25. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Leopards's matches and 45% of Shabana's.
What form are Leopards and Shabana in?
Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Shabana 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Shabana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leopards vs Shabana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.