Leopards vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leopards played Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 16 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Leopards: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leopards scores 1.00 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.85 and concedes 1.08. League average: 1.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leopards 38%, Ulinzi Stars 54%. Over 2.5: Leopards 23%, Ulinzi Stars 38%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Ulinzi Stars has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.33. Leopards: 8.2 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 10.8.

Match halves

Leopards: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.54. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.23.

Goals by minute

Leopards: 0-15 (4 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
5Shots7
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
2Shots on target1
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.92xG1.09
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
4Corners8
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
62Dangerous attacks78
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
-1Fouls-1
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
-1Cards-1
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.85
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.69Goals conceded / match1.08
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
46%Average possession50%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
2.62Shots on target / match3.46
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.15Shots per match10.85
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
2.62Shots on target3.46
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
12.3%Shot conversion7.8%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
46%Possession50%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
1.33xG for1.48
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
1.27xG against1.37
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Shooting quality

Leopards: Counter-attackingUlinzi Stars: Balanced
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ulinzi Stars is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Leopards · 1.4 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars

Leopards
DDWLD
Season result split
38% W46% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-2
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Ulinzi Stars
WWDLL
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leopards is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Leopards · 0.85 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars

Leopards is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.69 goals / match - Leopards · 1.08 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars

Leopards scoring profile: strong

Leopards scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Ulinzi Stars scoring profile: mixed

Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).

13Goals scored (season)11
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
9Goals conceded (season)14
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
1.69Average goals in match1.92
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
2Goals scored (last 5)6
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal69%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
38%2 goals8%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%3 goals8%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal69%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
15%2 goals31%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%3 goals8%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
8%BTTS in both halves0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
15%Scored in both halves0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
20%BTTS - last 560%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

38%Min. 1 goal before half-time38%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

2nd half

46%Min. 1 goal after half-time31%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leopards is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Leopards · 0.77 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars

Leopards - half-time state
8% leading77% draw15% trailing
Ulinzi Stars - half-time state
0% leading77% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.77
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.23Goals scored (1st half)0.15
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.54Average goals (1st half)0.54
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
69%Clean sheet before half-time62%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
77%No goal before half-time85%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)0.92
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.23
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
0.85Average goals (2nd half)0.62
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
77%Clean sheet after half-time77%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars
62%No goal after half-time77%
LeopardsUlinzi Stars

Leopards - second-half results

23% W69% R8% P
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding475%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ulinzi Stars - second-half results

8% W69% R23% P
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Leopards - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.20.2
1 goal20%20%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ulinzi Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.20.0
1 goal20%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leopards
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Ulinzi Stars
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.81
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leopards

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Ulinzi Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 55% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

LeopardsLigaUlinzi Stars
Average goals in match 1.691.91 1.92
Both teams scored 38%40% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 23%30% 38%
Clean sheets 46%38% 31%
Goal before half-time 38%37% 38%
Goal after half-time 46%39% 31%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.91
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.88
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+-15%
Home attack advantage
+-17%
Home defence advantage
+-16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
37%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
39%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Leopards vs Ulinzi Stars?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Leopards 2:1 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Ulinzi Stars?

Leopards score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.85. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Leopards's matches and 54% of Ulinzi Stars's.

What form are Leopards and Ulinzi Stars in?

Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Ulinzi Stars?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.