Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Levski Sofia played CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Levski Sofia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CSKA Sofia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Levski Sofia scores 2.03 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. CSKA Sofia scores 1.38 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Levski Sofia 47%, CSKA Sofia 41%. Over 2.5: Levski Sofia 56%, CSKA Sofia 32%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Levski Sofia has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.94. Levski Sofia: 15.4 shots per match, CSKA Sofia: 15.6.
Match halves
Levski Sofia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.35. CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Levski Sofia: 76-90+ (17 goals). CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Levski Sofia — the hosts sit 1st in the table with 24 wins and 69 goals scored versus CSKA’s 18 wins and 47 goals. Levski’s home attack shows a clear advantage: the hosts average 2.29 goals per home match with xG 2.11, 16.71 shots and 6.53 shots on target per game and a conversion rate of 14%, while CSKA away averages 1.13 goals with xG 1.8, 14.5 shots and 4 shots on target with an 8% conversion. Defensively Levski concedes 0.59 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 53% of home games, whereas CSKA concedes 0.88 away and has 44% clean sheets; additionally CSKA fail to score in 31% of away matches versus 18% for Levski at home. In the last 5 matches both teams conceded 4 goals, but Levski scored 6 compared to CSKA’s 4, and Levski’s superiority is also visible in home goal difference +29 versus CSKA’s +4 away and in the fact that the hosts win 82% of home fixtures with only 12% defeats. Considering control (65% possession Levski vs 56% CSKA), higher xG (2.11 vs 1.8) and better efficiency, I predict a home win; I estimate a 65% chance for Levski to win, 20% for a draw and 15% for a CSKA win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Levski at home records 56% of matches with BTTS, while CSKA away posts only 25% BTTS, a clear signal against a Both Teams To Score scenario. On the other hand, xG values favor goals from both sides: Levski generates 2.05 xG on average and CSKA opponents concede 1.22 xG; CSKA has 1.8 xG against an average xG conceded to Levski of 1.01, suggesting both teams have realistic opportunities to score at least once. This season Levski have scored 69 goals (1.61 per match) and conceded 25, while CSKA have 47 scored (1.13 per match) and 27 conceded; in the last 5 matches the goals tally is 6 for Levski and 4 for CSKA with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per team, indicating offensive potential and moderate defensive vulnerability. Additionally Levski average 16.28 shots and 5.22 shots on target versus CSKA's 14.5 and 4.0, increasing the home side's chance to score, whereas CSKA’s away tendency to keep clean sheets (44% clean sheets) lowers BTTS probability. Considering Levski's stronger offensive signal, decent xG for CSKA and mixed BTTS indicators (56% vs 25% and league 44%), I assess BTTS - Yes as the most reasonable pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts a total of approximately 3.04 goals: Levski about 1.64 (attack xG 2.05 vs conceded xG by CSKA 1.22) and CSKA about 1.40 (attack xG 1.80 vs conceded xG by Levski 1.01). Seasonal metrics confirm a scoring tendency — Levski has 67% of matches with over 1.5 goals, CSKA 63%, and Over 0.5 stands at 89% for the home side and 100% for the away side, which pushes the probability of Over 1.5 to around 81%. Levski averages 16.28 shots (5.22 on target), CSKA 14.5 (4.0), with shot conversion rates of 10% vs 8%, which further supports a goal-scoring scenario; therefore Over 2.5 also has a moderate probability (~59%) despite seasonal rates of 39%/25%. Over 3.5 looks less likely — seasonal shares of 28% and 13% and the xG model give it about a 36% chance, so I recommend the safest option: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Levski are the favorites: they average 1.61 goals per game versus 1.13 for CSKA, and their xG is 2.05 compared to 1.80 for the opponents, indicating an advantage in chance creation. The hosts led at the break in 8 matches (44%) and average 0.67 goals by half-time, while CSKA led in 5 matches (31%) with 0.50 goals by half-time, so the most likely scenario is Levski holding the lead after 45 minutes. In the second half Levski average 0.94 goals and win 56% of second halves, whereas CSKA average 0.63 goals and win 44% of second halves, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead and converting it into a victory; hence a 35% allocation to 1/1. Draws and comebacks are assessed lower (e.g. X/X 10%, 2/2 10%) due to the hosts' superior finishing (shot conversion 10% vs 8% for the visitors) and higher xG, therefore scenarios with CSKA leading at the break receive smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Levski Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Levski Sofia is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
2.03 goals / match - Levski Sofia · 1.38 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Levski Sofia · 0.79 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
CSKA Sofia scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Levski Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Levski Sofia
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Levski Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Levski Sofia | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Levski Sofia 1 - 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Levski Sofia 2:0 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Levski Sofia won 1, CSKA Sofia won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Levski Sofia score 2.03 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 1.38. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Levski Sofia's matches and 41% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Levski Sofia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The statistical background for Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.