Lexington vs Louisville City: match statistics
Louisville City shows decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an average of 2 points per match and recording a balance of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In the same period, Lexington performed very poorly, earning just 0.2 points per match with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. The goal difference is telling – the guests scored 4 goals and conceded only 1, while the hosts also scored 4 goals but conceded as many as 12. Louisville City's current form (wwdwl) is incomparably better than Lexington's form (llldl), suggesting a mental and tactical advantage for the guests. Considering all these factors, Louisville City has a clear advantage and is the favorite to take three points in this meeting.
Lexington vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lexington play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lexington 64%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Lexington 64%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.43. Lexington: 12.2 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Louisville City shows decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an average of 2 points per match and recording a balance of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In the same period, Lexington performed very poorly, earning just 0.2 points per match with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. The goal difference is telling – the guests scored 4 goals and conceded only 1, while the hosts also scored 4 goals but conceded as many as 12. Louisville City's current form (wwdwl) is incomparably better than Lexington's form (llldl), suggesting a mental and tactical advantage for the guests. Considering all these factors, Louisville City has a clear advantage and is the favorite to take three points in this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lexington | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lexington · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Lexington · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lexington
Over / Under — Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Lexington · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lexington
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Lexington | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lexington 0 - 0 - 1 Louisville City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lexington vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Lexington 1:2 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Louisville City?
Lexington score 1.57 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Lexington and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Louisville City?
The statistical background for Lexington vs Louisville City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.