United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 19 September 2026

Lexington vs Orange County SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lexington vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lexington play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lexington 64%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Lexington 64%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Lexington has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.20. Lexington: 12.2 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.

Match halves

Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.58)
(4.00)
(4.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LexingtonOrange County SC
1.57Goals scored / match1.56
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.43Goals conceded / match1.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
51%Average possession45%
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.36Shots on target / match3.5
LexingtonOrange County SC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.21Shots per match10.5
LexingtonOrange County SC
4.36Shots on target3.5
LexingtonOrange County SC
12.9%Shot conversion14.9%
LexingtonOrange County SC
51%Possession45%
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.43xG for1.2
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.34xG against1.62
LexingtonOrange County SC

Shooting quality

Lexington: BalancedOrange County SC: Counter-attacking
LexingtonOrange County SC
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lexington
LWWWL
Season result split
36% W21% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-6
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W44% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orange County SC is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Lexington · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Orange County SC scoring profile: very strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

22Goals scored (season)25
LexingtonOrange County SC
20Goals conceded (season)18
LexingtonOrange County SC
3Average goals in match2.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
12Goals scored (last 5)11
LexingtonOrange County SC
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal88%
LexingtonOrange County SC
36%2 goals44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%3 goals19%
LexingtonOrange County SC
14%4 goals6%
LexingtonOrange County SC

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal69%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%2 goals38%
LexingtonOrange County SC
21%3 goals6%
LexingtonOrange County SC
7%4 goals0%
LexingtonOrange County SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Orange County SC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time31%
LexingtonOrange County SC
0%BTTS in both halves25%
LexingtonOrange County SC
21%Scored in both halves31%
LexingtonOrange County SC

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LexingtonOrange County SC
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LexingtonOrange County SC
80%BTTS - last 5100%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LexingtonOrange County SC

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LexingtonOrange County SC
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington - half-time state
36% leading29% draw36% trailing
Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.38
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.13
LexingtonOrange County SC
64%Clean sheet before half-time56%
LexingtonOrange County SC
57%No goal before half-time44%
LexingtonOrange County SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
LexingtonOrange County SC
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
LexingtonOrange County SC
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.56
LexingtonOrange County SC
36%Clean sheet after half-time50%
LexingtonOrange County SC
43%No goal after half-time38%
LexingtonOrange County SC

Lexington - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% D19% L
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lexington - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Orange County SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

LexingtonLigaOrange County SC
Average goals in match 3.002.79 2.69
Both teams scored 64%58% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%52% 38%
Clean sheets 29%26% 31%
Goal before half-time 71%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Lexington 0 - 3 - 0 Orange County SC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Orange County SC
0 : 0
Lexington SC
Lexington SC
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
2 : 2
Lexington SC

FAQ

When do Lexington and Orange County SC play?

Lexington face Orange County SC on 19 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Orange County SC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lexington won 0, Orange County SC won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Orange County SC?

Lexington score 1.57 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.

What form are Lexington and Orange County SC in?

Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Orange County SC?

The statistical background for Lexington vs Orange County SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.