Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lexington played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lexington: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lexington scores 1.59 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.33 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lexington 59%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Lexington 59%, Phoenix Rising 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.46. Lexington: 12.6 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.6.
Match halves
Lexington: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Lexington: 76-90+ (6 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lexington has a clear home advantage profile: they win 56% of their home matches and score an average of 1.78 goals, while Phoenix Rising win just 22% of their away games and average 1.00 goal per match. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, recording an average xG of 1.56 compared with the visitors’ 1.07, and their advantage is also evident in shots on target per game: 4.56 to 2.56. Lexington’s home defence concedes an average of 1.33 goals, slightly fewer than Phoenix do away from home (1.44), while the hosts also keep a clean sheet in 44% of matches compared with 22% for their opponents. Recent form is not entirely one-sided, however, with Lexington collecting 7 points from five matches and Phoenix 5, although the hosts conceded as many as 10 goals during that period. Home advantage, a higher volume of chances created and Phoenix’s weaker away record all point towards a Lexington victory, although the draw remains a significant risk.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is more likely, as both teams have a season-long rate of matches with goals scored by both sides of 56%, slightly above the league average of 55%. The trend over the last five matches is even more favorable: Lexington recorded BTTS in 60% of games, while Phoenix Rising did so in as many as 80%, conceding an average of 2.0 and 1.6 goals respectively. Lexington creates a high volume of chances at home, averaging 1.93 xG, 16.44 shots, and 6.78 shots on target per match, while Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in only 22% of games. The visitors have been weaker over the course of the season, but their recent xG has risen to 1.63, while Lexington’s defense has allowed an average of 1.61 xG across its last five matches. The biggest risk to this pick is Phoenix’s away scoring average of just 1.0 goal; however, their current attacking form and the defensive issues on both sides provide stronger support for the BTTS - Yes outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lexington creates significantly more chances: its average xG stands at 1.93, compared with the 1.37 xG conceded by Phoenix, while it also records 16.44 shots and 6.78 shots on target per match. Phoenix averages just 1.00 goal per game this season, but the hosts have conceded as many as 2.0 goals per match in their last five fixtures, with 1.61 xG allowed to opponents. At least two goals were scored in 89% of both teams’ matches, while over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of each team’s games across the last five rounds. The season-long percentage of matches finishing above 2.5 goals is 44% for both sides, making the 2.5 line more balanced than current form might suggest. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Lexington’s solid attacking potential and both teams’ recent defensive weaknesses should produce at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Lexington win, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches. Across the season, Lexington led at the break in 33% of matches, compared with just 11% for Phoenix Rising, but the hosts are clearly stronger over the full 90 minutes: they average 1.67 goals from an xG of 1.93, while the visitors score 1.00 goals from an xG of 1.07. Lexington’s advantage is also evident in chance creation, averaging 16.44 shots and 6.78 on target, compared with Phoenix’s 8.78 shots and 2.56 on target. After the break, the hosts average 1.11 goals, while as many as 67% of Phoenix’s second halves have ended level, supporting a turnaround in favour of the home side after an evenly balanced opening.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lexington | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lexington · 1 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Lexington · 1.33 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Lexington is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Lexington · 1.39 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Lexington scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lexington
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Lexington · 1.17 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lexington
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Lexington | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.74 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lexington 2 - 0 - 0 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Lexington 1:0 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lexington won 2, Phoenix Rising won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
Lexington score 1.59 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Lexington's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Lexington and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.