Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Leyton Orient displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) on their own turf. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (52% vs 43%) and superior scoring efficiency in home matches (1.64 goals per game). AFC Wimbledon is in dismal form, remaining winless in their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The visitors struggle on the road with a poor record (only 36% win rate) and a high failure-to-score rate (36% FTS%). Furthermore, Wimbledon concedes an average of 2 goals per away match, which, combined with Leyton Orient's solid offensive play, gives the hosts a realistic chance of securing three points. Considering all statistics, the advantage lies with the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of shared points in Leyton Orient's home fixtures (36%).
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leyton Orient played AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Leyton Orient: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leyton Orient scores 1.48 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.09 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leyton Orient 57%, AFC Wimbledon 45%. Over 2.5: Leyton Orient 61%, AFC Wimbledon 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Leyton Orient has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.11. Leyton Orient: 11.8 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 9.9.
Match halves
Leyton Orient: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Leyton Orient: 61-75 (8 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leyton Orient displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) on their own turf. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (52% vs 43%) and superior scoring efficiency in home matches (1.64 goals per game). AFC Wimbledon is in dismal form, remaining winless in their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The visitors struggle on the road with a poor record (only 36% win rate) and a high failure-to-score rate (36% FTS%). Furthermore, Wimbledon concedes an average of 2 goals per away match, which, combined with Leyton Orient's solid offensive play, gives the hosts a realistic chance of securing three points. Considering all statistics, the advantage lies with the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of shared points in Leyton Orient's home fixtures (36%).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leyton Orient | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leyton Orient is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Leyton Orient · 0.4 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leyton Orient is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Leyton Orient · 1.09 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Leyton Orient · 1.36 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Leyton Orient keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leyton Orient
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Wimbledon is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Leyton Orient · 1.36 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leyton Orient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Leyton Orient | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.54 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Leyton Orient 1:3 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?
Leyton Orient score 1.48 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.09. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Leyton Orient's matches and 45% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Leyton Orient and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Leyton Orient have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.