Leyton Orient vs Barnsley: match statistics
Leyton Orient displays solid home form with 38% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match in home games with only 13% of matches without scoring. Barnsley performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 20% of games and conceding an average of 1.87 goals per match, with a negative goal difference of -10. Recent form for both teams is balanced, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.24 for hosts vs 1.24 for visitors with xGA 1.22 vs 1.6) speak in favor of Leyton Orient. Considering all factors, the hosts have realistic chances of securing three points, although Barnsley may put up stiff resistance, justifying the relatively high probability of a draw.
Leyton Orient vs Barnsley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leyton Orient played Barnsley in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Leyton Orient: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Barnsley: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leyton Orient scores 1.34 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Barnsley scores 1.67 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leyton Orient 59%, Barnsley 70%. Over 2.5: Leyton Orient 63%, Barnsley 70%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Barnsley has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.29. Leyton Orient: 11.5 shots per match, Barnsley: 12.0.
Match halves
Leyton Orient: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.72. Barnsley: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Leyton Orient: 46-60 (9 goals). Barnsley: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leyton Orient displays solid home form with 38% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match in home games with only 13% of matches without scoring. Barnsley performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 20% of games and conceding an average of 1.87 goals per match, with a negative goal difference of -10. Recent form for both teams is balanced, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.24 for hosts vs 1.24 for visitors with xGA 1.22 vs 1.6) speak in favor of Leyton Orient. Considering all factors, the hosts have realistic chances of securing three points, although Barnsley may put up stiff resistance, justifying the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leyton Orient | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barnsley is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Leyton Orient · 1 pts / match - Barnsley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barnsley is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Leyton Orient · 1.67 goals / match - Barnsley
Leyton Orient scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Barnsley keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 30 matches).
Barnsley scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Leyton Orient keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leyton Orient
Over / Under - Barnsley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barnsley is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Leyton Orient · 1.33 pts / match - Barnsley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leyton Orient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barnsley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leyton Orient
Barnsley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Leyton Orient | Liga | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leyton Orient 0 - 0 - 1 Barnsley. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
The EFL League One match finished Leyton Orient 1:3 Barnsley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
Leyton Orient score 1.34 goals per game on average and Barnsley 1.67. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Leyton Orient's matches and 70% of Barnsley's.
What form are Leyton Orient and Barnsley in?
Over the last 5 games Leyton Orient have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Barnsley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leyton Orient vs Barnsley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.