LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. LFK Mladost Lučani is displaying poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.6 points per match), yet at home they maintain decent efficiency with 45% of matches ending in a draw and 36% clean sheets. Despite better recent form (1.6 points per match), Bačka Topola struggles away from home – with only 18% wins and as many as 45% losses in away matches. A key factor is the high percentage of draws for both teams: the hosts have 45% at home, the visitors 36% away. Low scoring averages (0.91 for the hosts, 0.73 for the visitors) along with similar xG values suggest cautious play and low offensive efficiency. Taking all factors into account, a draw is the most probable outcome of this match.
LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LFK Mladost Lučani played Bačka Topola in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
LFK Mladost Lučani: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Bačka Topola: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
LFK Mladost Lučani scores 0.77 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Bačka Topola scores 0.82 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LFK Mladost Lučani 45%, Bačka Topola 41%. Over 2.5: LFK Mladost Lučani 41%, Bačka Topola 27%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bačka Topola has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.04. LFK Mladost Lučani: 8.8 shots per match, Bačka Topola: 12.2.
Match halves
LFK Mladost Lučani: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.36. Bačka Topola: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
LFK Mladost Lučani: 31-45+ (4 goals). Bačka Topola: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. LFK Mladost Lučani is displaying poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.6 points per match), yet at home they maintain decent efficiency with 45% of matches ending in a draw and 36% clean sheets. Despite better recent form (1.6 points per match), Bačka Topola struggles away from home – with only 18% wins and as many as 45% losses in away matches. A key factor is the high percentage of draws for both teams: the hosts have 45% at home, the visitors 36% away. Low scoring averages (0.91 for the hosts, 0.73 for the visitors) along with similar xG values suggest cautious play and low offensive efficiency. Taking all factors into account, a draw is the most probable outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LFK Mladost Lučani | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bačka Topola is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 1.6 pts / match - Bačka Topola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bačka Topola is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 0.82 goals / match - Bačka Topola
Bačka Topola is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 1.14 goals / match - Bačka Topola
LFK Mladost Lučani scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Bačka Topola keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Bačka Topola scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while LFK Mladost Lučani keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LFK Mladost Lučani
Over / Under - Bačka Topola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LFK Mladost Lučani is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 0.95 pts / match - Bačka Topola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LFK Mladost Lučani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bačka Topola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LFK Mladost Lučani
Bačka Topola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| LFK Mladost Lučani | Liga | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.75 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 76% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: LFK Mladost Lučani 0 - 0 - 1 Bačka Topola. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola?
The SuperLiga match finished LFK Mladost Lučani 1:3 Bačka Topola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola?
LFK Mladost Lučani score 0.77 goals per game on average and Bačka Topola 0.82. The SuperLiga average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of LFK Mladost Lučani's matches and 41% of Bačka Topola's.
What form are LFK Mladost Lučani and Bačka Topola in?
Over the last 5 games LFK Mladost Lučani have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Bačka Topola 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for LFK Mladost Lučani vs Bačka Topola: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.