LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac: match statistics
LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LFK Mladost Lučani played Radnički Kragujevac in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
LFK Mladost Lučani: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Radnički Kragujevac: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
LFK Mladost Lučani scores 0.77 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Radnički Kragujevac scores 1.06 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LFK Mladost Lučani 48%, Radnički Kragujevac 52%. Over 2.5: LFK Mladost Lučani 39%, Radnički Kragujevac 35%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Radnički Kragujevac has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.07. LFK Mladost Lučani: 8.8 shots per match, Radnički Kragujevac: 14.0.
Match halves
LFK Mladost Lučani: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35. Radnički Kragujevac: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
LFK Mladost Lučani: 0-15 (6 goals). Radnički Kragujevac: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I give a slight edge to the home side LFK Mladost Lučani — their record in the last 5 matches is 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (average 1.2 points per match), whereas Radnički has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss (0.8 points per match). Radnički displays better offensive season numbers: 33 goals scored versus 24 for Mladost and average away xG of 1.58 with 13.67 shots per match (4.27 on target), however in the last 5 fixtures the visitors have scored only 2 goals, indicating a drop in finishing. Mladost defends better at home — they concede on average 1.13 goals at home with xG against 1.81, while scoring 0.93 goals at home with a conversion rate of 10% (versus 8% for the visitors). Both teams draw frequently: draw rate is 40% of home matches for Mladost and 40% of away matches for Radnički, and the percentage of scoreless matches is 33% for both sides, so I expect few goals. Considering Mladost’s superior home defence and Radnički’s poor recent scoring form (2 goals in their last 5), I predict a narrow home victory with a significant risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates close to 50%: Mladost 50% and Radnički 53%, with the league average at 54%, so the baseline signal is slightly towards “BTTS - Yes”. Offensive arguments: home xG 1.74 vs xG against 1.44, away xG 1.58 vs xG against homeside 1.34, and average shots on target 4.44 vs 4.27, indicating a genuine ability for goals from both sides. Counterargument is recent form: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 5 and conceded 8 (avg 1.0 for, 1.6 against), while the away side only 2 and 3 (0.4 for, 0.6 against), showing a clear drop in Radnički’s attacking effectiveness. Weighing season BTTS, the xG edge for both teams and the visitors’ short-term scoring weakness, I project a “Both Teams To Score” scenario with moderate confidence at 60% vs 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate goals based on offensive xG and opponents’ defensive xG: LFK has xG_for 1.74 and Radnički xG_against 1.44 — this yields about 1.59 expected goals for the home side; similarly Radnički xG_for 1.58 and LFK xG_against 1.34 give ~1.46 expected away goals, total 3.05. Seasonal goals averages are 1.06 (LFK) and 1.07 (Radnički), totaling 2.13, but combined xG of 3.32 indicates more chances than the two-season averages show, so the projection leans toward 3.05 rather than 2.13. Both teams have high rates of matches over 1.5 goals (LFK 69% and Radnički 67%) and BTTS 50% and 53%, which supports a scenario with at least two goals. A Poisson model for a total of 3.05 translates to roughly 81% probability for Over 1.5, ~59% for Over 2.5 and ~36% for Over 3.5; the strongest data signal is an over on the 1.5 line (under risk ~19%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
LFK Mladost Lučani have the edge in key offensive metrics: the home side’s average xG is 1.74 versus Radnički’s 1.58, with average goals per match of 1.06 (home) vs 1.07 (away) and a higher average points at home of 1.38 compared to 1.00 for visitors. At Half-Time the hosts led in 44% of their matches (leadingAtHT_home=44%) and in the last 5 games they were leading at the break in 60% of cases, while Radnički were leading at the break in only 20% of their last five matches. Full-Time for the hosts more often ends in a draw (drawPercentage_home=44% vs winPercentage_home=31%), but the home side score more goals after the break (over05_2hg_percentage_home=81% and AVG_2hg_home=1.13), which increases the chances of maintaining or extending a lead. Therefore the strongest signal is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win) and I assign the highest probability to this scenario; alternatives are mainly distributed to X/X (20%) and X/1 (13%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LFK Mladost Lučani | Radnički Kragujevac | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LFK Mladost Lučani is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 0.8 pts / match - Radnički Kragujevac
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Radnički Kragujevac is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 1.06 goals / match - Radnički Kragujevac
Radnički Kragujevac is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 1.23 goals / match - Radnički Kragujevac
LFK Mladost Lučani scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Radnički Kragujevac keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Radnički Kragujevac scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while LFK Mladost Lučani keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LFK Mladost Lučani
Over / Under - Radnički Kragujevac
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Radnički Kragujevac is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani · 1.55 pts / match - Radnički Kragujevac
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LFK Mladost Lučani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Radnički Kragujevac - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LFK Mladost Lučani
Radnički Kragujevac
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| LFK Mladost Lučani | Liga | Radnički Kragujevac | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): LFK Mladost Lučani 0 - 1 - 1 Radnički Kragujevac. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac?
The SuperLiga match finished LFK Mladost Lučani 0:0 Radnički Kragujevac. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between LFK Mladost Lučani and Radnički Kragujevac?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches LFK Mladost Lučani won 0, Radnički Kragujevac won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac?
LFK Mladost Lučani score 0.77 goals per game on average and Radnički Kragujevac 1.06. The SuperLiga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of LFK Mladost Lučani's matches and 52% of Radnički Kragujevac's.
What form are LFK Mladost Lučani and Radnički Kragujevac in?
Over the last 5 games LFK Mladost Lučani have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Radnički Kragujevac 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac?
The statistical background for LFK Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.