Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in excellent form. Libertad is on an impressive run of four consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 2. Cerro Porteño has been performing equally well recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games and maintaining a solid defense (60% clean sheets away from home). A key factor is Libertad's advantage in ball possession (58% vs 52%) and better goal efficiency in home matches, giving them a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's excellent away defense (averaging 0.8 goals conceded) and identical xG figures (1.32 vs 1.31) suggest that the visitors are capable of containing the hosts. Considering the balance of power, both teams' high form, and minimal differences in key statistics, the most probable scenario is a draw, although Libertad has a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Libertad played Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Libertad: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Libertad scores 1.64 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.27 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Libertad 36%, Cerro Porteño 27%. Over 2.5: Libertad 36%, Cerro Porteño 18%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.38. Libertad: 13.8 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.6.
Match halves
Libertad: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Libertad: 31-45+ (4 goals). Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in excellent form. Libertad is on an impressive run of four consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 2. Cerro Porteño has been performing equally well recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games and maintaining a solid defense (60% clean sheets away from home). A key factor is Libertad's advantage in ball possession (58% vs 52%) and better goal efficiency in home matches, giving them a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's excellent away defense (averaging 0.8 goals conceded) and identical xG figures (1.32 vs 1.31) suggest that the visitors are capable of containing the hosts. Considering the balance of power, both teams' high form, and minimal differences in key statistics, the most probable scenario is a draw, although Libertad has a slight advantage due to playing at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Libertad · 1.27 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Libertad · 0.82 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Libertad scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Libertad · 1.27 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Libertad
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.55 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Libertad 1 - 3 - 1 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 2:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1, Cerro Porteño won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
Libertad score 1.64 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.27. The Division Profesional average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Libertad's matches and 27% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Libertad and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.