Libertad vs Guaraní: match statistics
Libertad boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in their home matches this season. The team is yet to concede a goal at their own stadium, confirming the solidity of their defense. Guaraní struggles away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), with half of those matches ending in defeat. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures (FTS% 50%). Despite Guaraní's better overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), Libertad's home advantage and the visitors' away weaknesses point towards a home victory. The difference in ball possession (55% vs 60%) and xG (1.07 vs 1.39) is marginal, but Libertad's efficiency at home should prove decisive for the outcome.
Libertad vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Libertad played Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Libertad: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Guaraní: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Libertad scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Libertad 67%, Guaraní 33%. Over 2.5: Libertad 33%, Guaraní 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.48. Libertad: 14.0 shots per match, Guaraní: 15.0.
Match halves
Libertad: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Guaraní: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Libertad: 31-45+ (1 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in their home matches this season. The team is yet to concede a goal at their own stadium, confirming the solidity of their defense. Guaraní struggles away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), with half of those matches ending in defeat. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures (FTS% 50%). Despite Guaraní's better overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), Libertad's home advantage and the visitors' away weaknesses point towards a home victory. The difference in ball possession (55% vs 60%) and xG (1.07 vs 1.39) is marginal, but Libertad's efficiency at home should prove decisive for the outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Libertad · 1.67 goals / match - Guaraní
Guaraní is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Libertad · 0.67 goals / match - Guaraní
Libertad scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Guaraní scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Libertad
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.50 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Libertad 2 - 0 - 2 Guaraní. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 3:3 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Guaraní?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Guaraní won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Guaraní?
Libertad score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.67. The Division Profesional average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Libertad's matches and 33% of Guaraní's.
What form are Libertad and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Guaraní 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Libertad vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.