Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño: match statistics
Libertad seems to hold a slight advantage in this meeting, mainly thanks to playing at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 54%) and create more scoring opportunities (averaging 10.67 shots vs 10.25), which translates to a higher average xG (1.41 vs 1.06). Sportivo Luqueño presents better form in the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG) and an impressive away record with 50% wins, however, they have not yet kept a clean sheet away this season. Libertad has a balanced home record (33% wins, draws, and defeats), but their advantage in offensive and defensive statistics on their own turf should give them a slight edge. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw also remaining a realistic scenario due to the solid form of the guests.
Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Libertad played Sportivo Luqueño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Libertad: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sportivo Luqueño: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Libertad scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.13 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Libertad 38%, Sportivo Luqueño 63%. Over 2.5: Libertad 38%, Sportivo Luqueño 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.27. Libertad: 14.3 shots per match, Sportivo Luqueño: 12.1.
Match halves
Libertad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Libertad: 46-60 (3 goals). Sportivo Luqueño: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad seems to hold a slight advantage in this meeting, mainly thanks to playing at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 54%) and create more scoring opportunities (averaging 10.67 shots vs 10.25), which translates to a higher average xG (1.41 vs 1.06). Sportivo Luqueño presents better form in the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG) and an impressive away record with 50% wins, however, they have not yet kept a clean sheet away this season. Libertad has a balanced home record (33% wins, draws, and defeats), but their advantage in offensive and defensive statistics on their own turf should give them a slight edge. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw also remaining a realistic scenario due to the solid form of the guests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sportivo Luqueño is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Libertad · 1.4 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Libertad · 1.13 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Libertad · 1.38 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Luqueño is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Libertad · 1.5 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Libertad
Sportivo Luqueño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Libertad 2 - 0 - 2 Sportivo Luqueño. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 1:0 Sportivo Luqueño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Sportivo Luqueño?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad score 1.63 goals per game on average and Sportivo Luqueño 1.13. The Division Profesional average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Libertad's matches and 63% of Sportivo Luqueño's.
What form are Libertad and Sportivo Luqueño in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sportivo Luqueño 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.