Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liepāja play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Stadions Daugava. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Liepāja: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liepāja scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liepāja 55%, BFC Daugavpils 57%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 59%, BFC Daugavpils 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.50. Liepāja: 12.4 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.7.
Match halves
Liepāja: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Liepāja: 31-45+ (7 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 83%.
Match description
I predict a home win because Liepāja shows superior form and efficiency recently: over the last five matches they averaged 1.4 points and scored 7 goals, while BFC Daugavpils has only 0.4 points and 3 goals. The visitors’ defense is weaker — Daugavpils concedes 2.4 goals on average away versus Liepāja’s 1.17 conceded at home, and away xG against for the visitors is 1.73 versus 1.26 for the hosts. Attacks are comparable (Liepāja 1.5 goals at home and xG 1.27 vs Daugavpils 1.6 goals away and xG 1.32), but the hosts have a possession edge 52% vs 42% and a better goal difference (+2 at home vs -4 for the visitors on the road). Liepāja also produces more effective chances (on average 4.17 shots on target at home vs 4.0 for the visitors and conversion 15% vs 14%), which combined with the visitors’ clear defensive issues increases the hosts’ chances. Therefore I estimate probabilities: 62% for a Liepāja win, 22% for a draw and 16% for a BFC Daugavpils win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Liepāja · 2 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liepāja
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.3 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liepāja
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Liepāja 2 - 1 - 3 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 2:1 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 2, BFC Daugavpils won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepāja score 1.27 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.26. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Liepāja's matches and 57% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Liepāja and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils?
The statistical background for Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.