Liepāja vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
Liepāja vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liepāja played Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 26 June 2026. Venue: Stadions Daugava. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Liepāja: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rīgas FS: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liepāja scores 1.21 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 2.53 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liepāja 58%, Rīgas FS 42%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 58%, Rīgas FS 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.43. Liepāja: 11.9 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.8.
Match halves
Liepāja: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.32.
Goals by minute
Liepāja: 31-45+ (6 goals). Rīgas FS: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-4. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pick: 2 — Rīgas FS is the favorite; they sit 1st and have won 16 matches, drawn 1 and lost 2 this season, while Liepāja have a record of 7 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. This season Rīgas scored 48 and conceded 14, whereas Liepāja have 23 goals for and 29 against, giving the visitors a significant advantage in goal difference. The last 5 matches also favor Rīgas: the away side scored 15 goals and average 2.4 points per game, the hosts have 6 goals and 1.4 points per game. Quality of chances is higher for the visitors — Rīgas away xG is 2.02 versus the hosts’ 1.32 xG, averaging 16.3 shots and 6.4 on target per game vs 10.11 and 4.44 for Liepāja, with possession 62% vs 52%. Defensively Rīgas concede 0.8 goals away and have 50% clean sheets with 0% games without scoring, while Liepāja at home concede 1.0 goal and have 11% clean sheets, therefore I assign probabilities: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally Liepāja has BTTS in only 33% of matches, while Rīgas FS in 50%, but in the last 5 fixtures the away side has BTTS 80% versus the home 40%, suggesting an increased probability of both teams scoring due to Rīgas' form. Liepāja averages 3.22 goals scored per match with xG 2.06, yet keeps a clean sheet in 56% of games, which reduces BTTS likelihood in typical home performances. Rīgas FS has season xG 2.02 and concedes on average 0.8 goals, and in the last 5 matches scores 3.0 and concedes 1.0, showing the visitors can both create and convert chances. Both teams register a high number of shots on target (6.78 vs 6.4) and have a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 60%), and the league posts an average BTTS of 57% and 3.0 goals per game, which further favors an exchange of goals. Overall the stronger signal is Rīgas' scoring form and the high league BTTS level, therefore I forecast 65% for 'yes' (BTTS - Yes) and 35% for 'no' (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model indicates high goal potential for both sides: xG Liepāja = 2.06 and xG Rīgas FS = 2.02, totaling 4.08 expected goals. Seasonally Liepāja has 89% of matches Over 1.5 and 67% Over 2.5, while Rīgas FS has 60% and 60% respectively, confirming a tendency toward high-scoring games. Liepāja averages 17.33 shots (6.78 on target) with a 19% conversion rate, and Rīgas FS 16.3 shots (6.4 on target) with a 12% conversion, so the hosts are more efficient in front of goal. In the last 5 matches Rīgas FS has averaged 3.0 goals and Liepāja 1.2, which further increases the likelihood of more goals. Based on this I pick Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: modelled probability for Over 1.5 is about 91% (Over 2.5 about 77%, Over 3.5 about 58%), therefore the 1.5 line offers the highest chance of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS shows superior form: 90% wins this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Liepāja has 78% wins this season and only 40% in the last 5. In the first half of the last 5 fixtures the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases vs 40% for the hosts, and the average goals by half-time are 1.6 for Rīgas FS vs 0.8 for Liepāja. On the season level xG is almost even: 2.06 for the hosts versus 2.02 for the visitors, but Liepāja has a higher shot conversion rate 19% vs 12%, which explains the season goals average 3.22 for Liepāja vs 1.9 for Rīgas FS. Nevertheless, in the last 5 matches Rīgas FS scores on average 3.0 goals vs 1.2 for Liepāja and more often takes a lead at the break (60%), which provides a strong signal for the visitors to be leading. Therefore the most likely scenario is Rīgas FS leading at half-time and winning the match (2/2) — I estimate this at about 43%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Liepāja · 2.4 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Liepāja · 2.53 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Liepāja · 0.74 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liepāja
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Liepāja · 2 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 84%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liepāja
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 23% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Liepāja 1 - 1 - 4 Rīgas FS. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 0:2 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Rīgas FS?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 1, Rīgas FS won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs Rīgas FS?
Liepāja score 1.21 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 2.53. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Liepāja's matches and 42% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are Liepāja and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs Rīgas FS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.