Lille vs Brest: match statistics
Lille displays significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5), compared to Brest's poor away results (only 20% wins, -8 goal difference). The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.7, while Brest concedes an average of 2 goals away with an xG against of 1.63, indicating the visitors' defensive vulnerability. Lille holds an advantage in possession (51% vs 42%), shot accuracy, and the average number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.0). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, but Lille has the home advantage and better offensive statistics in home matches. Considering all factors, the hosts are the favorite, although Brest is capable of scoring away goals, which increases the chance of a draw or an away upset.
Lille vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lille played Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lille: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Brest: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lille scores 1.62 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Brest scores 1.33 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lille 38%, Brest 48%. Over 2.5: Lille 43%, Brest 57%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lille has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.31. Lille: 14.3 shots per match, Brest: 11.8.
Match halves
Lille: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.19. Brest: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Lille: 76-90+ (20 goals). Brest: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lille displays significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5), compared to Brest's poor away results (only 20% wins, -8 goal difference). The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.7, while Brest concedes an average of 2 goals away with an xG against of 1.63, indicating the visitors' defensive vulnerability. Lille holds an advantage in possession (51% vs 42%), shot accuracy, and the average number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.0). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, but Lille has the home advantage and better offensive statistics in home matches. Considering all factors, the hosts are the favorite, although Brest is capable of scoring away goals, which increases the chance of a draw or an away upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lille | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brest is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Lille · 1.4 pts / match - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Lille · 1.33 goals / match - Brest
Lille is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Lille · 1.57 goals / match - Brest
Lille scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Brest scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lille
Over / Under - Brest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lille
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lille | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.82 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lille 0 - 1 - 0 Brest. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lille vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 1:1 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Brest?
Lille score 1.62 goals per game on average and Brest 1.33. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lille's matches and 48% of Brest's.
What form are Lille and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Lille have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Brest 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lille vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.