Lille vs Nice: match statistics
Lille vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lille played Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Lille: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nice: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lille scores 1.69 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Nice scores 1.17 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lille 41%, Nice 59%. Over 2.5: Lille 45%, Nice 55%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lille has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.27. Lille: 13.9 shots per match, Nice: 11.4.
Match halves
Lille: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.24. Nice: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lille are the favorites for this fixture: the hosts have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding just 4, whereas Nice have only 4 goals and have conceded 12 over the same period. At home Lille average 1.64 goals per game, register 14.86 shots with 4.71 on target, and have an average xG of 1.69, while Nice on the road record 1.14 goals, 10.07 shots and xG 1.19. The defensive gap is significant: Lille concede 1.00 goal on average at home and keep clean sheets in 36% of matches, while Nice concede 2.14 goals away and have only 7% clean sheets. Lille have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game in that span, whereas Nice in their last 5 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses and average 0.8 points per game. Considering the advantage in xG (1.69 vs 1.19), shots (14.86 vs 10.07) and the hosts’ defensive stability, I predict a Lille victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 53% (Lille) and 64% (Nice), above the league average of 49%, indicating a propensity for matches with goals at both ends. Lille have scored 49 and conceded 34 this season (avg 1.2 scored and 1.73 conceded per match), while Nice have 34 scored and 56 conceded (1.14 scored and 2.14 conceded), so the home side has the better offensive record and Nice are more vulnerable defensively. In the last 5 matches Lille scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and conceded 4 (0.8 per match), whereas Nice scored only 4 and conceded 12 (0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded), which increases the likelihood of Lille scoring but also highlights Nice’s high susceptibility to conceding. Lille have xG_for 1.36 versus 1.19 for Nice and average 12.67 shots (4.53 on target) versus 10.07 (3.64 on target) for Nice; although Nice have a higher conversion rate 11% vs 9%, their poor recent scoring form (4 goals in 5) weakens confidence that they will score themselves. Considering Lille’s strong attack in the last 5 (2.2 g/m) and the large number of goals conceded by Nice (2.14 seasonally, 2.4 in the last 5), I assess BTTS at 62% 'Yes' and 38% 'No' — best tip: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG is 1.57 for Lille and 1.38 for Nice (calculated as the average of team attacking xG and opponent conceded xG), totaling 2.95 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.78 and above the 2.5 threshold. Seasonal rates show Lille has Over 2.5 in 47% of matches and Nice in 64% (approx. 55% combined), with Lille recording Over 2.5 in 80% of its last 5 matches and Nice in 60%. Lille averages 12.67 shots and 4.53 shots on target per match vs Nice's 10.07 and 3.64; with conversion rates of 9% (Lille) and 11% (Nice) this confirms both teams' goal potential. Both teams score in 53% (Lille) and 64% (Nice) of their matches, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on this, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (I assess the probability of Over 2.5 at 62%), while Over 1.5 is very likely (82%) and Over 3.5 remains less certain (≈30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Lille leading at half-time and winning the match) because Lille have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and were leading at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), whereas Nice have only 20% wins in those games and 0% half-time leads. On the season level Lille display superior xG metrics: Lille’s xG for is 1.36 versus Nice’s 1.19, and xG against is 1.57 vs 1.78, indicating Lille’s advantage in chance creation and better defensive organization. Lille average 12.67 shots and 4.53 on target per game compared to Nice’s 10.07 and 3.64, while Nice concede 2.14 goals per game versus Lille’s 1.73 and have only 7% clean sheets in the season vs 20% for Lille. Additionally, Lille have averaged 0.6 goals by half-time over the last 5 matches, while Nice average 0.0, which increases the likelihood of the home side leading by the break. Therefore the 1/1 scenario is the strongest signal and I assign it a 40% probability; the remaining outcomes are distributed proportionally as less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lille | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lille is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lille · 0.8 pts / match - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Lille · 1.17 goals / match - Nice
Lille is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Lille · 1.93 goals / match - Nice
Lille scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Nice scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lille
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Lille · 1.1 pts / match - Nice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lille
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lille | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lille 0 - 0 - 1 Nice. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lille vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 0:0 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Nice?
Lille score 1.69 goals per game on average and Nice 1.17. The Ligue 1 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Lille's matches and 59% of Nice's.
What form are Lille and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Lille have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nice 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Nice?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lille vs Nice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.