Lille vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lille played Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Lille: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Paris: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lille scores 1.92 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Paris scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lille 42%, Paris 67%. Over 2.5: Lille 42%, Paris 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Lille has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.45. Lille: 16.3 shots per match, Paris: 13.3.

Match halves

Lille: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.42. Paris: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Lille: 76-90+ (12 goals). Paris: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
LilleParis
17Shots6
LilleParis
10Shots on target3
LilleParis
2.17xG0.83
LilleParis
9Corners4
LilleParis
54Dangerous attacks32
LilleParis
9Fouls12
LilleParis
1Cards2
LilleParis

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.92Goals scored / match1.5
LilleParis
1.25Goals conceded / match1.75
LilleParis
58%Average possession55%
LilleParis
5.08Shots on target / match4.08
LilleParis

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.33Shots per match13.33
LilleParis
5.08Shots on target4.08
LilleParis
11.7%Shot conversion11.3%
LilleParis
58%Possession55%
LilleParis
1.82xG for1.45
LilleParis
1.05xG against1.22
LilleParis

Shooting quality

Lille: DominantParis: Balanced
LilleParis
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lille is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Lille · 0.8 pts / match - Paris

Lille
WWLWL
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Paris
LLDWL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-6
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lille is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Lille · 1.5 goals / match - Paris

Lille is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Lille · 1.75 goals / match - Paris

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

Paris scoring profile: very strong

Paris scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

23Goals scored (season)18
LilleParis
15Goals conceded (season)21
LilleParis
3.17Average goals in match3.25
LilleParis
9Goals scored (last 5)6
LilleParis
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
LilleParis

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
LilleParis
42%2 goals50%
LilleParis
25%3 goals17%
LilleParis
17%4 goals0%
LilleParis

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal83%
LilleParis
33%2 goals50%
LilleParis
17%3 goals25%
LilleParis
0%4 goals8%
LilleParis

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time33%
LilleParis
8%BTTS in both halves17%
LilleParis
25%Scored in both halves17%
LilleParis

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
LilleParis
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LilleParis
20%BTTS - last 560%
LilleParis

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
LilleParis
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
LilleParis
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
LilleParis

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
LilleParis
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
LilleParis
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
LilleParis

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lille is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Lille · 0.83 pts / match - Paris

Lille - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Paris - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)0.83
LilleParis
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.67
LilleParis
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
LilleParis
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
LilleParis
58%Clean sheet before half-time33%
LilleParis
67%No goal before half-time50%
LilleParis

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.33
LilleParis
1.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
LilleParis
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
LilleParis
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.75
LilleParis
33%Clean sheet after half-time42%
LilleParis
42%No goal after half-time50%
LilleParis

Lille - second-half results

42% W25% D33% L
16
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paris - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
10
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lille
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
12
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Paris
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
52% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
52%

Paris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LilleLigaParis
Average goals in match 3.172.91 3.25
Both teams scored 42%50% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%52% 58%
Clean sheets 25%28% 17%
Goal before half-time 67%68% 83%
Goal after half-time 83%83% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LilleYellow cardIgmane Hamza
  2. LilleSubstitutionOn: Hákon Arnar HaraldssonOff: Igmane Hamza
  3. ParisYellow cardHamari Traoré
  4. ParisSubstitutionOn: Alimami GoryOff: Pierre Lees Melou
  5. LilleGoalAïssa Mandi
  6. ParisSubstitutionOn: Lohann DoucetOff: Vincent Marchetti
  7. ParisYellow cardLohann Doucet

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Benoît MillotMatches officiated: 13
3.31Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 254%Home wins31%Draws15%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Lille vs Paris?

The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 4:2 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Paris?

Lille score 1.92 goals per game on average and Paris 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Lille's matches and 67% of Paris's.

What form are Lille and Paris in?

Over the last 5 games Lille have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Paris 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Paris?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.