Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lillestrøm played Fredrikstad in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Lillestrøm: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fredrikstad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lillestrøm scores 1.62 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Fredrikstad scores 1.15 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lillestrøm 38%, Fredrikstad 69%. Over 2.5: Lillestrøm 46%, Fredrikstad 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Lillestrøm has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.31. Lillestrøm: 12.7 shots per match, Fredrikstad: 11.4.
Match halves
Lillestrøm: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.08. Fredrikstad: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Lillestrøm: 76-90+ (8 goals). Fredrikstad: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lillestrøm have significantly better home numbers: they average 1.75 goals per match, while Fredrikstad score just 0.78 away from home. The hosts also create more chances, registering 12.13 shots and an xG of 1.40, compared with 9.67 shots and an xG of 1.13 for the visitors. Fredrikstad’s away defence concedes as many as 2.11 goals per match and allows an average xG of 1.80, which should favour a more effective Lillestrøm attack. However, the visitors are in excellent current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in that run, while Lillestrøm have scored just 2 goals and failed to win any of their last five fixtures. The hosts’ advantage in the home-away parameters is significant, but Fredrikstad’s strong run reduces confidence in the pick and increases the likelihood of a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Lillestrøm’s poor current attacking output: in their last 5 matches, the team has scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game, while BTTS landed in 40% of those fixtures. Fredrikstad have kept a clean sheet in 11% of their matches this season, but have recently conceded an average of just 1.0 goal per game, while the hosts have failed to score in 13% of their matches across the entire season. The visitors are in significantly better offensive form, scoring 10 goals in their last 5 appearances, while Lillestrøm conceded an average of 1.8 goals during this period, making a Fredrikstad goal likely. At the same time, Fredrikstad’s season-long BTTS rate is only 44%, dropping to just 20% across their last five matches, which strengthens the scenario in which at least one side—primarily the hosts—fails to find the net. Although Lillestrøm’s season BTTS rate stands at 63%, the hosts’ current scoring problems are a stronger signal in favour of the “No” selection. BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the teams’ season results: at least two goals were scored in 75% of Lillestrøm’s matches and 78% of Fredrikstad’s fixtures. The hosts average 1.38 goals scored, while Fredrikstad concede as many as 2.11 goals per away match, clearly supporting Lillestrøm’s chances of finding the net. The visitors have been highly efficient lately, scoring 10 goals in their last five matches, while Lillestrøm conceded 9 goals during the same period. A combined expected-goals figure of 2.62 points to a realistic scenario of two or three goals, although 87% of the hosts’ matches finished with Under 3.5 goals. Therefore, the safest and strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Fredrikstad’s current form: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Lillestrøm have failed to win any match during this period and have scored only 0.4 goals per game. Fredrikstad led at the break in 80% of their last five matches and averaged 1.2 goals before half-time, whereas the hosts have not scored a single first-half goal and went into the break trailing in 60% of their matches. Lillestrøm’s seasonal home data are more positive, with the team winning 63% of its home matches, but its current offensive crisis clearly diminishes the significance of this advantage. Fredrikstad also have a favourable away profile against this opponent: Lillestrøm have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, while their season-long xGA stands at 1.55. Therefore, the most likely scenario is an HT/FT outcome of 2/2, with the visitors leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lillestrøm is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 1.4 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1.15 goals / match - Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1.77 goals / match - Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
Fredrikstad scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lillestrøm is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 0.85 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lillestrøm
Fredrikstad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.95 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lillestrøm 1 - 0 - 2 Fredrikstad. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 1:4 Fredrikstad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and Fredrikstad?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad?
Lillestrøm score 1.62 goals per game on average and Fredrikstad 1.15. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lillestrøm's matches and 69% of Fredrikstad's.
What form are Lillestrøm and Fredrikstad in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fredrikstad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad?
The statistical background for Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.