Lillestrøm vs KFUM: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs KFUM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lillestrøm played KFUM in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Åråsen Stadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lillestrøm: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. KFUM: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lillestrøm scores 1.58 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. KFUM scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lillestrøm 33%, KFUM 42%. Over 2.5: Lillestrøm 42%, KFUM 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Lillestrøm has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.27. Lillestrøm: 13.3 shots per match, KFUM: 10.8.
Match halves
Lillestrøm: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.08. KFUM: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Lillestrøm: 76-90+ (7 goals). KFUM: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis clearly favors the home side: Lillestrøm at home scores on average 2.2 goals and concedes 1.2, with average xG for 1.49 versus xG against 1.33, while KFUM away scores 1.2 and concedes 2.6 with average xG 1.44 and xG against 1.8. Additionally Lillestrøm controls the game (56% possession) and has superior shot conversion 18% versus the visitors' 10%, despite KFUM recording more shots on target (5.2 vs 4.2). The defensive gap is significant: the visitors have 0% clean sheets on the road and a negative goal difference -7, hosts +5 and 20% clean sheets at home. In the last 5 matches Lillestrøm scored 6 goals and averages 1.2 points per game, while KFUM scored 3 goals and 0.8 points per game, which confirms the greater stability of the hosts. Based on this I forecast a Lillestrøm win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main argument for BTTS comes from KFUM: their seasonal BTTS is 80%, they average 1.20 goals scored and concede 2.60 goals per match, and their xG is 1.44 versus xG against 1.80, indicating a high number of scoring opportunities. KFUM notch an average of 5.2 shots on target and 12.4 shots overall with 10% conversion, and the league BTTS level is 55%, which reinforces the probability of Goal/Goal. However, Lillestrøm at home has a seasonal BTTS of only 14% and 57% clean sheets, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86 goals per season at home, which strongly favors No Goal. In the last 5 matches Lillestrøm have 40% BTTS (6 scored and 7 conceded), while KFUM have 20% BTTS (3 scored and 6 conceded), so recent trends are mixed and not decisive. Considering KFUM’s high seasonal BTTS (80%), their high average shots and xG and high average goals conceded (2.6), I assign the
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining both teams' xG yields expected goals of 1.48 for Lillestrøm (attacking xG 1.15 vs opponents' defensive xG 1.80) and 1.39 for KFUM (attacking xG 1.44 vs Lillestrøm defensive xG 1.33), totaling 2.87 goals. KFUM averages 12.4 shots and 5.2 on target per match with a 10% conversion, while Lillestrøm has 9.71 shots and 3.57 on target with a 9% conversion, which increases goal-scoring opportunities on both sides. Seasonal metrics show 100% of KFUM’s away matches over 2.5 goals and 80% over 3.5, whereas Lillestrøm at home has only 14% over 2.5 and 0% over 3.5, giving mixed signals. Since the combined xG of 2.87 exceeds the 2.5 line and the league average is 2.98 goals per match, I recommend the Over 2.5 goals as the strongest signal (estimated probability of Over 2.5 around 65%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Lillestrøm leading at the break and the home side winning (HT/FT 1/1). Lillestrøm average 1.43 points at home versus 0.4 points for KFUM away, and the visitors have no away wins (0% wins), which gives a clear home advantage. KFUM concede on average 2.6 goals away and 1.8 goals by half-time, while Lillestrøm keep a clean sheet at home in 57% of matches and average 0.57 goals by half-time, increasing the likelihood of the home side holding a lead at the break. Additionally, Lillestrøm generate approximately 1.15 xG at home, while KFUM allow around 1.8 xG on the road, i.e. they give up quality chances to the hosts. Since the visitors have been trailing at half-time in 60% of their away matches, I treat the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | KFUM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lillestrøm is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 0.8 pts / match - KFUM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1 goals / match - KFUM
Lillestrøm is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1.58 goals / match - KFUM
Lillestrøm scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while KFUM keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
KFUM scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - KFUM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lillestrøm is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 0.83 pts / match - KFUM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KFUM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lillestrøm
KFUM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | KFUM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lillestrøm 1 - 0 - 1 KFUM. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs KFUM?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 2:1 KFUM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and KFUM?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1, KFUM won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs KFUM?
Lillestrøm score 1.58 goals per game on average and KFUM 1.00. The Eliteserien average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lillestrøm's matches and 42% of KFUM's.
What form are Lillestrøm and KFUM in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and KFUM 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs KFUM?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.