Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lillestrøm played Sandefjord in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Lillestrøm: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sandefjord: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lillestrøm scores 1.63 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Sandefjord scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lillestrøm 25%, Sandefjord 25%. Over 2.5: Lillestrøm 38%, Sandefjord 25%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Sandefjord has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.47. Lillestrøm: 12.8 shots per match, Sandefjord: 15.5.
Match halves
Lillestrøm: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Sandefjord: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Lillestrøm: 76-90+ (5 goals). Sandefjord: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lillestrøm average 2.33 goals per home match and have won 67% of home games, giving them a tangible advantage in offensive efficiency. The hosts also display higher shot efficiency: 3.33 shots on target and 21% conversion in home fixtures, while Sandefjord averages 4 shots on target away but only 7% conversion. The visitors arrive in better form (3 wins in the last 5 and 2 points per game in that period) and generate higher away xG (1.46 vs 1.32 for Lillestrøm), indicating they create chances with stronger expected value. Despite that, Lillestrøm’s home defense performs better: average xG against 1.24 and 1.0 conceded goals per match versus Sandefjord, who concede 1.25 goals away and have a negative away goal difference (-1). Therefore I give the hosts a narrow edge, but the guests’ higher xG and current form reduce confidence in the prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against a BTTS - Yes bet is the home side’s defensive form — Lillestrøm has a 75% clean sheet expected (CS) and 0% home matches with both teams scoring, with an average home goals scored of 0.75 and conceded 0.5. Sandefjord have 50% BTTS on the road and score 1.0 on average away, but concede 1.25 away, so while they have the potential to score, the hosts rarely allow opponents chances. Lillestrøm generate higher xG (1.84) than Sandefjord (1.46) but suffer low finishing — shot conversion 5% versus 7% for the visitors, which explains why with xG 1.84 the hosts actually average only 0.75 goals. In the last 5 matches Lillestrøm have 0% BTTS (6 scored and 4 conceded, i.e. 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded), and Sandefjord have 20% BTTS in five matches (5 scored and 3 conceded, i.e. 1.0 and 0.6), which further favors a No Goal/No BTTS scenario. Considering 75% CS and 0% BTTS for the home side, the league BTTS average of 48% and league average 2.78 goals per game, I assess probability at 80% for No and 20% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Lillestrøm (xG_for 1.84 vs xG_against Sandefjord 1.57) and 1.45 for Sandefjord (xG_for 1.46 vs xG_against Lillestrøm 1.43), totaling 3.15 goals. A Poisson distribution for a mean of 3.15 yields P(at least 2) ≈82% (Over 1.5), P(at least 3) ≈61% (Over 2.5) and P(at least 4) ≈39% (Over 3.5). Counterpoints are Lillestrøm’s seasonal stats: only 0.75 goals per game on average, 75% home clean sheets and 0% home games over 2.5 goals, which reduce the expectation of very high scores. However, the hosts generate 16.5 shots and xG 1.84, while Sandefjord averages 14.5 shots, a 7% conversion rate and 50% of season games over 2.5, so combined xG and chance volume point toward goal potential. As a result, the strongest and most probable signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sandefjord led at the break in 50% of matches this season, and in the last 5 fixtures they held a lead at the break in 40% of cases, while Lillestrøm led at the break in only 20% of their last 5 matches. Nevertheless, Lillestrøm are very strong after the break: they score an average of 0.5 goals in second halves, concede 0.0 goals on average after the break, and have collected 8 points in second halves at an average of 2.0 points per post-break match. Additionally, the hosts generate higher xG (1.84 vs 1.46) and have more shots on target (6 vs 4), indicating greater chance-creation potential. Considering Sandefjord’s frequent leads at the break (50% season, 40% in the last 5) and Lillestrøm’s ability to stage turnarounds and keep clean sheets (75% season clean sheets), the strongest signal is the visitors leading at the break and the hosts winning after the break (HT/FT = 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sandefjord is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 2 pts / match - Sandefjord
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 0.88 goals / match - Sandefjord
Lillestrøm is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 0.88 goals / match - Sandefjord
Lillestrøm scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Sandefjord keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Sandefjord scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - Sandefjord
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sandefjord is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 1.38 pts / match - Sandefjord
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sandefjord - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lillestrøm
Sandefjord
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.78 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lillestrøm 1 - 0 - 1 Sandefjord. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 3:1 Sandefjord. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and Sandefjord?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1, Sandefjord won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord?
Lillestrøm score 1.63 goals per game on average and Sandefjord 0.88. The Eliteserien average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Lillestrøm's matches and 25% of Sandefjord's.
What form are Lillestrøm and Sandefjord in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sandefjord 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.