Lillestrøm vs Start: match statistics
Lillestrøm vs Start: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lillestrøm played Start in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Lillestrøm: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Start: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lillestrøm scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Start scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lillestrøm 50%, Start 67%. Over 2.5: Lillestrøm 50%, Start 0%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lillestrøm has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.12. Lillestrøm: 16.5 shots per match, Start: 9.0.
Match halves
Lillestrøm: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Start: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Lillestrøm: 46-60 (2 goals). Start: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lillestrøm are the favorites in this clash: they sit 2nd in the table with a season record of 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses and a goal difference of 4-1, while Start are 14th with 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and a 2-4 record. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals in those games, which corresponds to roughly 2.4 points per match over that period, whereas Start’s last five read 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, 7 goals and 1.6 points per match. Defensively Lillestrøm looks more solid on paper (only 1 goal conceded this season) compared to Start (4 goals conceded this season and on average 1.5 goals conceded away), giving the hosts a clear defensive edge. Start additionally struggle with chance quality on the road — average xG per away match 0.81 versus xG against 1.79, 1.5 shots on target per match and shot conversion around 8%, and 50% of away games ending goalless for them, which suggests difficulty in finishing moves. Considering the higher league position, better seasonal goal balance and the stronger run of 4 wins in the last 5, a home win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict a 'BTTS – Yes' scenario because Lillestrøm has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% versus Start's 50%, with a league average of 52%. Lillestrøm generates average xG 1.75, while Start concedes average xG 1.79 per match, indicating a high probability of the home side scoring. Conversely, Start in the last 5 matches has xG_for 1.34 and scored 7 goals (avg 1.4), whereas Lillestrøm conceded 6 goals in that period (1.2 per match), so the visitors also have a realistic chance to score. Additionally, the hosts average 15 shots and 4 on target compared to Start’s 6 and 1.5, and Start’s season record of 2 goals scored/4 conceded further increases the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Based on this, I assign an 80% probability to BTTS 'Yes' and 20% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Lillestrøm has xG_for 1.75 and Start xG_against 1.79, yielding a projected 1.77 goals for the home side; meanwhile Start xG_for 0.81 and Lillestrøm xG_against 1.09 suggest 0.95 goals for the visitors, totalling 2.72 goals. The 2.72 aggregate is above the 2.5 line and close to the league average of 2.95, so the primary signal favours Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches Lillestrøm scored 9 goals (1.8 per match), Start 7 goals (1.4 per match), and the percentage of matches over 2.5 in the last 5 is 60% for Lillestrøm and 40% for Start. Additionally, Lillestrøm creates more chances (15 shots and 4.0 on target per match vs 6 and 1.5 for Start), while Start concedes on average 1.5 goals season-to-date and has xG_against 1.79, which together increase the probability of a higher-goal game; therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Start has the advantage in first halves: in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored a total of 8 first-half goals (average 1.0 per match) versus 4 first-half goals for the home side (average 0.2). However, Lillestrøm dominates after the break: xG 1.75 versus 0.81 and on average 15 shots (4 on target) versus 6 (1.5 on target) for Start, indicating greater control and chances in the second half. Second-half statistics confirm this turnaround — Lillestrøm averages 1.0 goals after the break in the season and 1.6 in the last 5 matches, while Start has 0.0/0.4, so the home side has a realistic basis for recovering. Additionally, hosts conceded on average 1.0 goal by half-time while Start conceded 0.5 (concededAVGHT_home 1.0 vs concededAVGHT_away 0.5), so the most likely scenario is Start leading at the break and Lillestrøm winning after the match — HT/FT 2/1, which I assign 34%. Alternatively I give 18% to a half-time draw and a home win (X/1) and 10% to draw/draw (X/X), because home matches this season have ended with goals at both ends in 100% of cases, and the xG advantage suggests goals from both sides.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lillestrøm | Start | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lillestrøm is 348% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 0.67 pts / match - Start
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 199% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 0.67 goals / match - Start
Lillestrøm is 166% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Lillestrøm · 1.33 goals / match - Start
Lillestrøm scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Start keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Start scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
Over / Under - Start
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lillestrøm is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Lillestrøm · 0.67 pts / match - Start
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Start - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lillestrøm
Start
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Lillestrøm | Liga | Start | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 86% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lillestrøm 2 - 0 - 0 Start. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Start?
The Eliteserien match finished Lillestrøm 3:1 Start. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrøm and Start?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 2, Start won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lillestrøm vs Start?
Lillestrøm score 2.00 goals per game on average and Start 0.67. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lillestrøm's matches and 67% of Start's.
What form are Lillestrøm and Start in?
Over the last 5 games Lillestrøm have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Start 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lillestrøm vs Start?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.