Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Lincoln City are displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their own ground and only a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. Their recent results (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and a 15-match unbeaten streak at home confirm the team's stability. Bolton Wanderers, despite decent overall form, have a significantly weaker away record – only a 27% win rate on the road, 40% draws, and a negative goal difference (-6). Furthermore, Bolton average only 0.8 goals per away match and fail to score in 27% of their away fixtures, which is a significant weakness. Lincoln's advantage in goal-scoring efficiency in home matches (2.07 goals on average) and superior chance conversion (16% vs 5%) favor a home win, although Bolton's solid defense and possession may result in a closely contested match.
Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lincoln City played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lincoln City scores 1.73 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.32 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lincoln City 53%, Bolton Wanderers 55%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 53%, Bolton Wanderers 42%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.32. Lincoln City: 11.3 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.7.
Match halves
Lincoln City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.80. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Lincoln City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lincoln City are displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their own ground and only a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. Their recent results (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and a 15-match unbeaten streak at home confirm the team's stability. Bolton Wanderers, despite decent overall form, have a significantly weaker away record – only a 27% win rate on the road, 40% draws, and a negative goal difference (-6). Furthermore, Bolton average only 0.8 goals per away match and fail to score in 27% of their away fixtures, which is a significant weakness. Lincoln's advantage in goal-scoring efficiency in home matches (2.07 goals on average) and superior chance conversion (16% vs 5%) favor a home win, although Bolton's solid defense and possession may result in a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lincoln City | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.32 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Lincoln City · 0.94 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Lincoln City scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lincoln City
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.35 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 60%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lincoln City
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Lincoln City | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lincoln City 0 - 1 - 0 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Lincoln City score 1.73 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.32. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Lincoln City's matches and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The statistical background for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.