England - ChampionshipLNER StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Lincoln City vs Burnley: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lincoln City vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lincoln City play Burnley in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: LNER Stadium.

Current form

Lincoln City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Burnley: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lincoln City scores 0.82 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.45 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lincoln City 45%, Burnley 91%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 55%, Burnley 73%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Burnley has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.21. Lincoln City: 11.6 shots per match, Burnley: 14.2.

Match halves

Lincoln City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Burnley: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Lincoln City: 31-45+ (3 goals). Burnley: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.05)
(3.44)
(2.22)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lincoln CityBurnley
0.82Goals scored / match1.45
Lincoln CityBurnley
1.73Goals conceded / match1.91
Lincoln CityBurnley
34%Average possession49%
Lincoln CityBurnley
2.73Shots on target / match4.09
Lincoln CityBurnley

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.55Shots per match14.18
Lincoln CityBurnley
2.73Shots on target4.09
Lincoln CityBurnley
7.1%Shot conversion10.3%
Lincoln CityBurnley
34%Possession49%
Lincoln CityBurnley
1.21xG for1.48
Lincoln CityBurnley
1.84xG against1.58
Lincoln CityBurnley

Shooting quality

Lincoln City: BalancedBurnley: Attacking
Lincoln CityBurnley
Accuracy (shots on target)24%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Burnley is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1 pts / match - Burnley

Lincoln City
WLLLD
Season result split
27% W27% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-5
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Burnley
LDWDL
Season result split
9% W45% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-5-5
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burnley is 77% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.45 goals / match - Burnley

Lincoln City is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.91 goals / match - Burnley

Lincoln City scoring profile: very strong

Lincoln City scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Burnley scoring profile: very strong

Burnley scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

9Goals scored (season)16
Lincoln CityBurnley
19Goals conceded (season)21
Lincoln CityBurnley
2.55Average goals in match3.36
Lincoln CityBurnley
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Lincoln CityBurnley
13Goals conceded (last 5)8
Lincoln CityBurnley

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal100%
Lincoln CityBurnley
9%2 goals27%
Lincoln CityBurnley
0%3 goals9%
Lincoln CityBurnley
0%4 goals9%
Lincoln CityBurnley

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal91%
Lincoln CityBurnley
55%2 goals64%
Lincoln CityBurnley
27%3 goals27%
Lincoln CityBurnley
9%4 goals9%
Lincoln CityBurnley

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
Lincoln CityBurnley
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Lincoln CityBurnley
0%Scored in both halves18%
Lincoln CityBurnley

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS64%
Lincoln CityBurnley
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Lincoln CityBurnley
40%BTTS - last 580%
Lincoln CityBurnley

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
Lincoln CityBurnley
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Lincoln CityBurnley
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Lincoln CityBurnley

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Lincoln CityBurnley
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Lincoln CityBurnley
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Lincoln CityBurnley

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Burnley is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.36 pts / match - Burnley

Lincoln City - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing
Burnley - half-time state
36% leading27% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.36
Lincoln CityBurnley
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.82
Lincoln CityBurnley
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Lincoln CityBurnley
0.91Average goals (1st half)1.64
Lincoln CityBurnley
64%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Lincoln CityBurnley
64%No goal before half-time36%
Lincoln CityBurnley

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)0.91
Lincoln CityBurnley
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Lincoln CityBurnley
1.27Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
Lincoln CityBurnley
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.73
Lincoln CityBurnley
45%Clean sheet after half-time18%
Lincoln CityBurnley
64%No goal after half-time45%
Lincoln CityBurnley

Lincoln City - second-half results

36% W9% D55% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Burnley - second-half results

27% W9% D64% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lincoln City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.42.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Burnley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lincoln City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Burnley
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
0
5
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lincoln City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Burnley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Lincoln CityLigaBurnley
Average goals in match▼ 2.552.88▲ 3.36
Both teams scored▼ 45%64%▲ 91%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%61%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 36%21%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%77%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Lincoln City and Burnley play?

Lincoln City face Burnley on 24 October 2026 in Championship at LNER Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Burnley?

Lincoln City score 0.82 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.45. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Lincoln City's matches and 91% of Burnley's.

What form are Lincoln City and Burnley in?

Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Burnley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Burnley?

The statistical background for Lincoln City vs Burnley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.