Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Lincoln City demonstrates decisively better form and home statistics, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 69% wins at home. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, losing none, whereas Burton Albion shows poor away disposition (19th place, only 25% away victories). Lincoln scores an average of 2 goals per match in home games with just 1 conceded goal, resulting in a +13 goal difference, while Burton concedes an average of 1.42 goals away with a negative difference of -5. Additionally, the hosts have a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 9%) and higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive superiority. Considering all statistical data, Lincoln City holds a clear advantage and should triumph in this encounter.
Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lincoln City play Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match date is 22 January 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lincoln City scores 1.93 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lincoln City 50%, Burton Albion 48%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 54%, Burton Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lincoln City has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.36. Lincoln City: 12.6 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.5.
Match halves
Lincoln City: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.93. Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Lincoln City: 31-45+ (21 goals). Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Lincoln City demonstrates decisively better form and home statistics, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 69% wins at home. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, losing none, whereas Burton Albion shows poor away disposition (19th place, only 25% away victories). Lincoln scores an average of 2 goals per match in home games with just 1 conceded goal, resulting in a +13 goal difference, while Burton concedes an average of 1.42 goals away with a negative difference of -5. Additionally, the hosts have a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 9%) and higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive superiority. Considering all statistical data, Lincoln City holds a clear advantage and should triumph in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lincoln City | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.09 goals / match - Burton Albion
Lincoln City is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.3 goals / match - Burton Albion
Lincoln City scores in 89% of matches (41 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 41% (19 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lincoln City
Over / Under — Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.24 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.22 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lincoln City
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Lincoln City | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lincoln City 1 - 0 - 0 Burton Albion. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 2:1 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?
Lincoln City score 1.93 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.09. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lincoln City's matches and 48% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Lincoln City and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.