Lincoln City vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lincoln City played Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Lincoln City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cardiff City: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lincoln City scores 1.40 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.89 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lincoln City 45%, Cardiff City 47%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 45%, Cardiff City 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.20. Lincoln City: 10.1 shots per match, Cardiff City: 14.5.

Match halves

Lincoln City: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 0.65. Cardiff City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.37.

Goals by minute

Lincoln City: 61-75 (7 goals). Cardiff City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
Lincoln CityCardiff City
18Shots11
Lincoln CityCardiff City
7Shots on target4
Lincoln CityCardiff City
2.01xG1.31
Lincoln CityCardiff City
4Corners3
Lincoln CityCardiff City
54Dangerous attacks45
Lincoln CityCardiff City
12Fouls11
Lincoln CityCardiff City
3Cards1
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.4Goals scored / match1.89
Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.05Goals conceded / match1.05
Lincoln CityCardiff City
42%Average possession61%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
3.6Shots on target / match5.26
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.1Shots per match14.53
Lincoln CityCardiff City
3.6Shots on target5.26
Lincoln CityCardiff City
13.9%Shot conversion13%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
42%Possession61%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.2xG for1.68
Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.38xG against1.42
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Shooting quality

Lincoln City: Counter-attackingCardiff City: Dominant
Lincoln CityCardiff City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Lincoln City · 3 pts / match - Cardiff City

Lincoln City
WLWWD
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-5
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Cardiff City
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
68% W11% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-4
2.16 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.89 goals / match - Cardiff City

Lincoln City scoring profile: strong

Lincoln City scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

28Goals scored (season)36
Lincoln CityCardiff City
21Goals conceded (season)20
Lincoln CityCardiff City
2.45Average goals in match2.95
Lincoln CityCardiff City
10Goals scored (last 5)14
Lincoln CityCardiff City
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Lincoln CityCardiff City

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal84%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
45%2 goals53%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
20%3 goals37%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0%4 goals16%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal58%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
30%2 goals26%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
10%3 goals21%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0%4 goals0%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time11%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
30%Scored in both halves42%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
80%BTTS - last 560%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lincoln City is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.15 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.42 pts / match - Cardiff City

Lincoln City - half-time state
65% leading20% draw15% trailing
Cardiff City - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.15Points per match (1st half)1.42
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.1Average goals (1st half)0.95
Lincoln CityCardiff City
75%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
35%No goal before half-time58%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)2.21
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)1.37
Lincoln CityCardiff City
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Lincoln CityCardiff City
1.35Average goals (2nd half)2
Lincoln CityCardiff City
35%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Lincoln CityCardiff City
60%No goal after half-time16%
Lincoln CityCardiff City

Lincoln City - second-half results

30% W30% D40% L
43
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cardiff City - second-half results

68% W16% D16% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding213%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lincoln City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.42.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lincoln City
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
1
16-30
5
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
7
3
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
9
5
46-60
6
3
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lincoln City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
175%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Lincoln CityLigaCardiff City
Average goals in match 2.452.49 2.95
Both teams scored 45%50% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%47% 58%
Clean sheets 35%28% 42%
Goal before half-time 80%68% 63%
Goal after half-time 80%82% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Lincoln CityYellow cardThomas Philip Hamer
  2. Lincoln CityYellow cardConor McGrandles
  3. Cardiff CityGoalAlexander Robertson
  4. Cardiff CityYellow cardOmari Kellyman
  5. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Ronan KpakioOff: Joel Bagan
  6. Cardiff CityGoalPerry NgAssist: Yousef Salech
  7. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Ryley TowlerOff: Jack Moylan
  8. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Justin ObikwuOff: Freddie Draper
  9. Lincoln CityGoalSonny BradleyAssist: Tom Bayliss
  10. Lincoln CityYellow cardGeorge Wickens
  11. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: David TurnbullOff: Ryan Wintle
  12. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Dom JeffriesOff: Reeco Lee Hackett-Fairchild
  13. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Francis OkoronkkoOff: Robert Street
  14. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Ivan VarfolomieievOff: Tom Bayliss

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Lincoln City vs Cardiff City?

The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 2:1 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Cardiff City?

Lincoln City score 1.40 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.89. The EFL League One average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Lincoln City's matches and 47% of Cardiff City's.

What form are Lincoln City and Cardiff City in?

Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cardiff City 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Cardiff City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.