Lincoln City vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Lincoln City shows impressive home form with 69% wins and only 6% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 2nd place in the table. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home with 15% efficiency and a goal difference of +17, and their recent form (4 wins in 5 matches) confirms the team's solidity. Northampton Town, on the other hand, presents poor away form - only 19% wins and a massive 56% losses on the road, averaging only 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Additionally, the guests fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which against Lincoln City's strong defense (0.94 goals conceded on average at home) significantly limits their chances. The difference in xG (1.57 for Lincoln vs 1.06 for Northampton away) and goal difference (-12 for the guests) further confirm the advantage of the hosts, who should confidently win this meeting.
Lincoln City vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lincoln City played Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Northampton Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lincoln City scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.94 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lincoln City 55%, Northampton Town 42%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 52%, Northampton Town 42%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Lincoln City has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.12. Lincoln City: 11.7 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.2.
Match halves
Lincoln City: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 0.77. Northampton Town: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Lincoln City: 31-45+ (12 goals). Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lincoln City shows impressive home form with 69% wins and only 6% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 2nd place in the table. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home with 15% efficiency and a goal difference of +17, and their recent form (4 wins in 5 matches) confirms the team's solidity. Northampton Town, on the other hand, presents poor away form - only 19% wins and a massive 56% losses on the road, averaging only 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Additionally, the guests fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which against Lincoln City's strong defense (0.94 goals conceded on average at home) significantly limits their chances. The difference in xG (1.57 for Lincoln vs 1.06 for Northampton away) and goal difference (-12 for the guests) further confirm the advantage of the hosts, who should confidently win this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lincoln City | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1 pts / match - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Lincoln City · 0.94 goals / match - Northampton Town
Lincoln City is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.26 goals / match - Northampton Town
Lincoln City scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lincoln City
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - Lincoln City · 0.94 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 58%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Lincoln City | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 68% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lincoln City 1 - 0 - 0 Northampton Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lincoln City vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 4:0 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Northampton Town?
Lincoln City score 1.71 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.94. The EFL League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Lincoln City's matches and 42% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Lincoln City and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Northampton Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Northampton Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lincoln City vs Northampton Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.