Lincoln City vs Portsmouth: match statistics

Lincoln City are showing clearly better recent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that run, averaging 2.2 per game. Portsmouth have recorded just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats over the same period, scoring 6 goals. The hosts have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match recently, while Portsmouth’s defence has allowed 8 goals in 5 games, or 1.6 per match. Both teams lost their only league fixture so far, but Lincoln went down 1:2, whereas Portsmouth conceded 3 goals while scoring just 1. The hosts’ superior attacking efficiency and significantly stronger results trend point towards a Lincoln City victory.

The strongest signal in favour of BTTS - Yes is the recent form of both teams: Lincoln has seen both teams score in 60% of its last five matches, while the figure for Portsmouth is 80%. Lincoln scored 11 goals during this period, averaging 2.2 per match, whereas Portsmouth averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The hosts have an xG of 1.52 and an xG against of 1.61, while the corresponding figures for the visitors are 1.30 and 1.38, indicating chances at both ends. In addition, Lincoln has not kept a clean sheet in the available seasonal data, and its only match so far ended with a BTTS outcome. Although Portsmouth’s seasonal data is very limited, the league records both teams scoring in as many as 83% of matches, making the “yes” outcome more likely.

In their last five matches, Lincoln City averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Portsmouth scored 1.2 and allowed opponents 1.6 goals. Both teams recorded matches with at least three goals in 60% of cases during this period, while Portsmouth’s games featured goals from both sides in as many as 80% of cases. The quality of chances created also points towards goals: Lincoln’s average xG is 1.52 and Portsmouth’s 1.30, giving a combined level close to 2.8 goals. The league averages 2.83 goals per match, with 75% of games finishing above 2.5 goals, so the safest signal remains Over 1.5.

Lincoln City are in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 1.2, while Portsmouth have recorded only 1 win and average 1.2 goals per match. The strongest signal concerns the first half, as the hosts have led at the break in all of their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. Portsmouth average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded before half-time, and have been ahead after 45 minutes in only 20% of their recent appearances. After the break, the visitors drew in 60% of their last five matches, which reduces the likelihood of a turnaround, while Lincoln should be able to maintain their advantage. In addition, the hosts generate an average xG of 1.98 and 6 shots on target, making the HT/FT scenario of leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory the most likely outcome.