Lincoln City vs Rotherham United: match statistics
Lincoln City is displaying dominant form, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 24 wins and just 5 defeats this season. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 3, which confirms their excellent disposition. In home matches, Lincoln wins a staggering 74% of their games, averaging 2.26 goals scored and maintaining a +27 goal difference. Rotherham United is in the last, 22nd position in the table, with a disastrous away record: 72% losses, just 0.72 goals per game, and 56% of matches without a scored goal. Given such a drastic difference in form, table position, and effectiveness, a decisive home victory is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
Lincoln City vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lincoln City played Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Rotherham United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lincoln City scores 1.87 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Rotherham United scores 0.95 and concedes 1.49. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lincoln City 50%, Rotherham United 43%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 53%, Rotherham United 54%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lincoln City has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.21. Lincoln City: 12.5 shots per match, Rotherham United: 10.5.
Match halves
Lincoln City: half-time lead 66%, second-half goals 0.95. Rotherham United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Lincoln City: 31-45+ (15 goals). Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lincoln City is displaying dominant form, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 24 wins and just 5 defeats this season. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 3, which confirms their excellent disposition. In home matches, Lincoln wins a staggering 74% of their games, averaging 2.26 goals scored and maintaining a +27 goal difference. Rotherham United is in the last, 22nd position in the table, with a disastrous away record: 72% losses, just 0.72 goals per game, and 56% of matches without a scored goal. Given such a drastic difference in form, table position, and effectiveness, a decisive home victory is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lincoln City | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1 pts / match - Rotherham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Lincoln City · 0.95 goals / match - Rotherham United
Lincoln City is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Lincoln City · 1.49 goals / match - Rotherham United
Lincoln City scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 matches).
Rotherham United scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lincoln City
Over / Under - Rotherham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.21 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.16 pts / match - Rotherham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 66% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lincoln City
Rotherham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Lincoln City | Liga | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lincoln City 0 - 0 - 1 Rotherham United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lincoln City vs Rotherham United?
The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 3:0 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Rotherham United?
Lincoln City score 1.87 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 0.95. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lincoln City's matches and 43% of Rotherham United's.
What form are Lincoln City and Rotherham United in?
Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Rotherham United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Rotherham United?
The statistical background for Lincoln City vs Rotherham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.