England - ChampionshipLNER StadiumData current as of 18 October 2026

Lincoln City vs Southampton: match statistics

Lincoln City crest
Lincoln City
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Southampton crest
Southampton

Lincoln City vs Southampton: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lincoln City played Southampton in Championship (England). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: LNER Stadium. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Lincoln City: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Southampton: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lincoln City scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Southampton scores 2.50 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lincoln City 50%, Southampton 100%. Over 2.5: Lincoln City 50%, Southampton 75%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Southampton has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.29. Lincoln City: 12.8 shots per match, Southampton: 17.3.

Match halves

Lincoln City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Southampton: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.

Goals by minute

Lincoln City: 0-15 (1 goals). Southampton: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Southampton sit 5th, while Lincoln City are only 18th, and the visitors have scored 9 goals this season compared with the hosts’ 3. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game over that period, but Southampton scored 12 goals during that run—3 more than Lincoln. The visitors more often control the game, enjoying 66% possession compared with the hosts’ 39%, while also creating more chances: 17 shots per match versus 15 for their opponents. Southampton’s edge is also evident in chance quality, with an average xG of 1.70 compared with Lincoln’s 1.60, while the hosts’ defence allows opponents an xG of 1.70. Both teams lost their only match so far at home and away respectively and failed to keep a clean sheet, so Lincoln may get on the scoresheet, but the visitors’ greater attacking potential points to a Southampton win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Both teams currently have a 100% BTTS rate in their league data, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet. In their last five matches, the rate of games in which both sides scored stands at 80% for each team, with Lincoln averaging 1.8 goals scored and Southampton 2.4. Lincoln have conceded 1.4 goals per match over this run, while Southampton have conceded 1.6; their average xG against figures are 1.68 and 1.45 respectively, which supports goal-scoring opportunities at both ends. The hosts average 6 shots on target, while the visitors have produced a high 1.91 xG in their last five appearances, making BTTS - Yes the most likely outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have enjoyed a very high-scoring period: in their last five matches, Lincoln City averaged 1.8 goals, while Southampton averaged 2.4. At the same time, the hosts conceded 1.4 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.6 for the visitors, supporting a both-teams-to-score scenario. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of each team’s last five matches, and both teams scored in 80% of those games. The average xG figures are also high: Southampton created chances worth 1.91 xG, while Lincoln City allowed opponents 1.68 xG. The safest edge is with Over 1.5, as both teams cleared this line in 100% of their available league matches this season, while the 3.5-goal projection provides strong support for the pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Lincoln City have a clearly superior record in the available seasonal data: they won 100% of their matches, scoring an average of 4.0 goals and conceding 1.0, while Southampton lost all of their matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The hosts tend to start matches more strongly, having held a lead at the break in 50% of their matches to date, whereas the visitors went into half-time trailing on 100% of occasions. Lincoln’s advantage is also evident in their creativity and finishing: they average 6.0 shots on target compared with Southampton’s 3.0, and convert 21% of their attempts into goals, compared with 6% for their opponents. The signal is more balanced across the last five matches, although the hosts still led at half-time more often, 40% compared with 20%, and score an average of 0.8 goals after the interval. The most likely outcome therefore remains Lincoln City leading at half-time and maintaining their victory through to full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
Lincoln CitySouthampton
19Shots16
Lincoln CitySouthampton
5Shots on target4
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1.89xG1.59
Lincoln CitySouthampton
4Corners6
Lincoln CitySouthampton
48Dangerous attacks41
Lincoln CitySouthampton
12Fouls10
Lincoln CitySouthampton
3Cards0
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lincoln CitySouthampton
0.75Goals scored / match2.5
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1.25Goals conceded / match1.25
Lincoln CitySouthampton
34%Average possession60%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
2.25Shots on target / match4.75
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.75Shots per match17.25
Lincoln CitySouthampton
2.25Shots on target4.75
Lincoln CitySouthampton
5.9%Shot conversion14.5%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
34%Possession60%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1.29xG for1.76
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1.88xG against1.46
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Shooting quality

Lincoln City: BalancedSouthampton: Dominant
Lincoln CitySouthampton
Accuracy (shots on target)18%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.53

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Southampton is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.75 pts / match - Southampton

Lincoln City
LLWD
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Southampton
LWWD
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 75%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southampton is 233% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Lincoln City · 2.5 goals / match - Southampton

Lincoln City scoring profile: very strong

Lincoln City scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

Southampton scoring profile: very strong

Southampton scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

3Goals scored (season)10
Lincoln CitySouthampton
5Goals conceded (season)5
Lincoln CitySouthampton
2Average goals in match3.75
Lincoln CitySouthampton
3Goals scored (last 5)10
Lincoln CitySouthampton
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Lincoln CitySouthampton

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%2 goals50%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%3 goals50%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%4 goals25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
50%2 goals25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
25%3 goals0%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%4 goals0%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

73%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time50%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%Scored in both halves50%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
50%BTTS - last 5100%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Southampton is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Lincoln City · 1.75 pts / match - Southampton

Lincoln City - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Southampton - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.75
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1Average goals (1st half)2
Lincoln CitySouthampton
75%Clean sheet before half-time25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
50%No goal before half-time25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.25
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
Lincoln CitySouthampton
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
Lincoln CitySouthampton
1Average goals (2nd half)1.75
Lincoln CitySouthampton
50%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Lincoln CitySouthampton
75%No goal after half-time25%
Lincoln CitySouthampton

Lincoln City - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Southampton - second-half results

75% W0% D25% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lincoln City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.00
Goals scored / match0.50.3
Goals conceded / match0.50.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal50%75%
2 goals25%25%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal50%75%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2
Southampton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.752.25
Goals scored / match1.01.5
Goals conceded / match1.00.3
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals75%50%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet25%75%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 50% leading - 25% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 0% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lincoln City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Southampton
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lincoln City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
48%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Southampton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.74
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
181%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Lincoln CityLigaSouthampton
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.94▲ 3.75
Both teams scored▼ 50%73%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%67%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 50%18%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%79%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
73%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Lincoln CityYellow cardConor McGrandles
  2. Lincoln CityYellow cardIvan Varfolomieiev
  3. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Divin MubamaOff: Cyle Christopher Larin
  4. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Samuel EdozieOff: Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza
  5. Lincoln CityYellow cardFreddie Draper
  6. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Nathan Wood-GordonOff: Kuryu Matsuki

FAQ

What was the result of Lincoln City vs Southampton?

The Championship match finished Lincoln City 1:1 Southampton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Southampton?

Lincoln City score 0.75 goals per game on average and Southampton 2.50. The Championship average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lincoln City's matches and 100% of Southampton's.

What form are Lincoln City and Southampton in?

Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Southampton 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Southampton?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.