Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Linfield played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Linfield: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Linfield scores 1.43 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.07 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Linfield 29%, Carrick Rangers 50%. Over 2.5: Linfield 36%, Carrick Rangers 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Linfield has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.26. Linfield: 11.9 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.3.

Match halves

Linfield: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Linfield: 61-75 (6 goals). Carrick Rangers: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14Shots13
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
7Shots on target4
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.66xG1.38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
6Corners7
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
40Dangerous attacks38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
9Fouls2
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1Cards0
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.43Goals scored / match1.07
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.57Goals conceded / match1.29
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Average possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.36Shots on target / match3.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.93Shots per match9.29
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.36Shots on target3.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
12%Shot conversion11.5%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.56xG for1.26
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.09xG against1.54
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Linfield: BalancedCarrick Rangers: Balanced
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Linfield is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Linfield · 0.6 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Carrick Rangers
LLWLL
Season result split
36% W7% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-8
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Linfield is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Linfield · 1.07 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.57 goals / match - Linfield · 1.29 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield scoring profile: very strong

Linfield scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Carrick Rangers scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).

20Goals scored (season)15
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
8Goals conceded (season)18
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
2Average goals in match2.36
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5Goals scored (last 5)3
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal79%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%2 goals14%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%3 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal71%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%2 goals50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%3 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%Scored in both halves7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
40%BTTS - last 540%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Linfield is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Linfield · 0.86 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)0.86
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.36
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
86%Clean sheet before half-time36%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
57%No goal before half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.14
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%No goal after half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Linfield - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

21% W50% D29% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Linfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LinfieldLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 2.002.65 2.36
Both teams scored 29%46% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%49% 43%
Clean sheets 57%28% 29%
Goal before half-time 57%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LinfieldGoalChris McKee
  2. LinfieldSubstitutionOn: Ethan McGeeOff: Chris McKee
  3. LinfieldYellow cardEthan McGee
  4. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Ryan StrainOff: Benjamin Buchanan-Rolleston
  5. Carrick RangersGoalAidan Steele
  6. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Seanan ClucasOff: Billy Joe Burns
  7. LinfieldGoalMatt Yates
  8. LinfieldGoalMatt Yates

FAQ

What was the result of Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Linfield 3:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield score 1.43 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.07. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Linfield's matches and 50% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.