Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście: match statistics
Lipno Stęszew shows solid form at their home stadium with a 45% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts maintain a high average ball possession (51%) and a shot conversion rate of 10%, which, combined with 11.78 shots per match, gives them an offensive advantage. Flota Świnoujście has weaker away form with only a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-1) in away matches. Although both teams have identical ball possession (51%), the home side's xG (1.47) exceeds the visitors' xG (1.07) in their respective matches, suggesting better quality of chances created by Lipno. Considering the home advantage of the hosts and Flota's weaker away form, the most likely outcome is a victory for Lipno Stęszew, although a draw also remains a realistic possibility.
Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lipno Stęszew played Flota Świnoujście in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Lipno Stęszew: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Flota Świnoujście: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lipno Stęszew scores 1.32 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Flota Świnoujście scores 1.43 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Flota Świnoujście 52%. Over 2.5: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Flota Świnoujście 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Lipno Stęszew has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.19. Lipno Stęszew: 8.7 shots per match, Flota Świnoujście: 5.6.
Match halves
Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.55. Flota Świnoujście: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (12 goals). Flota Świnoujście: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lipno Stęszew shows solid form at their home stadium with a 45% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts maintain a high average ball possession (51%) and a shot conversion rate of 10%, which, combined with 11.78 shots per match, gives them an offensive advantage. Flota Świnoujście has weaker away form with only a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-1) in away matches. Although both teams have identical ball possession (51%), the home side's xG (1.47) exceeds the visitors' xG (1.07) in their respective matches, suggesting better quality of chances created by Lipno. Considering the home advantage of the hosts and Flota's weaker away form, the most likely outcome is a victory for Lipno Stęszew, although a draw also remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lipno Stęszew | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.68 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flota Świnoujście is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.4 pts / match - Flota Świnoujście
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flota Świnoujście is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.43 goals / match - Flota Świnoujście
Flota Świnoujście is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.14 goals / match - Flota Świnoujście
Lipno Stęszew scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Flota Świnoujście keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Flota Świnoujście scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lipno Stęszew
Over / Under - Flota Świnoujście
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.05 pts / match - Flota Świnoujście
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flota Świnoujście - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lipno Stęszew
Flota Świnoujście
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Lipno Stęszew | Liga | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lipno Stęszew 0 - 0 - 1 Flota Świnoujście. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Lipno Stęszew 1:3 Flota Świnoujście. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.32 goals per game on average and Flota Świnoujście 1.43. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lipno Stęszew's matches and 52% of Flota Świnoujście's.
What form are Lipno Stęszew and Flota Świnoujście in?
Over the last 5 games Lipno Stęszew have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Flota Świnoujście 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.