Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński: match statistics
Lipno Stęszew presents a solid disposition in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive record of 50% clean sheets. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches overall (2 points per match), which contrasts with the form crisis of Stargard Szczeciński, who earned just 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. The guests have defensive problems on away trips, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match, while Lipno scores an average of 1.3 goals at home. Additionally, Stargard has lost 3 of their last 5 matches and has only a 44% win rate away. The xG statistics are even, but the home advantage and significantly better form of the hosts speak for their victory. The hosts' home goal difference (+3) and ball possession at the level of 51% in both cases suggest balanced quality, yet the factor of their own pitch and current form give Lipno Stęszew a psychological and tactical advantage.
Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lipno Stęszew played Stargard Szczeciński in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Lipno Stęszew: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Stargard Szczeciński: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lipno Stęszew scores 1.35 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Stargard Szczeciński scores 1.68 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lipno Stęszew 45%, Stargard Szczeciński 63%. Over 2.5: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Stargard Szczeciński 58%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Stargard Szczeciński has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Lipno Stęszew: 9.3 shots per match, Stargard Szczeciński: 8.1.
Match halves
Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Stargard Szczeciński: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (10 goals). Stargard Szczeciński: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lipno Stęszew presents a solid disposition in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive record of 50% clean sheets. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches overall (2 points per match), which contrasts with the form crisis of Stargard Szczeciński, who earned just 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. The guests have defensive problems on away trips, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match, while Lipno scores an average of 1.3 goals at home. Additionally, Stargard has lost 3 of their last 5 matches and has only a 44% win rate away. The xG statistics are even, but the home advantage and significantly better form of the hosts speak for their victory. The hosts' home goal difference (+3) and ball possession at the level of 51% in both cases suggest balanced quality, yet the factor of their own pitch and current form give Lipno Stęszew a psychological and tactical advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lipno Stęszew | Stargard Szczeciński | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lipno Stęszew is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 0.8 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stargard Szczeciński is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.68 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Lipno Stęszew scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Stargard Szczeciński keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Stargard Szczeciński scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lipno Stęszew
Over / Under - Stargard Szczeciński
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.32 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stargard Szczeciński - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lipno Stęszew
Stargard Szczeciński
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Lipno Stęszew | Liga | Stargard Szczeciński | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lipno Stęszew 0 - 0 - 1 Stargard Szczeciński. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Lipno Stęszew 1:2 Stargard Szczeciński. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.35 goals per game on average and Stargard Szczeciński 1.68. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Lipno Stęszew's matches and 63% of Stargard Szczeciński's.
What form are Lipno Stęszew and Stargard Szczeciński in?
Over the last 5 games Lipno Stęszew have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Stargard Szczeciński 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lipno Stęszew vs Stargard Szczeciński: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.