Líšeň vs Sigma Olomouc: match statistics

Sigma Olomouc are showing a clearly better recent trend: they have collected 7 points from their last five matches, with 2 wins and a draw, while Líšeň have managed just 1 point and suffered 4 defeats. The difference is also evident in the goal tally over this period, with the visitors scoring 11 and conceding 7, compared to the hosts’ 5 goals scored and as many as 14 conceded. Líšeň’s home defence has so far allowed opponents an average of 2.04 xG and 4 goals per match, while failing to keep a single clean sheet—conditions that favour Sigma’s recently prolific attack. However, the hosts do possess an attacking argument at home, averaging 11 shots, 4 shots on target and 1.30 xG, compared to Sigma’s meagre 0.69 xG away from home. The visitors’ advantage in current form and defensive stability shifts the forecast towards a Sigma Olomouc win, although their weak away attacking numbers increase the risk of a draw.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the fact that both teams have recorded goals for both sides in 100% of their matches this season, compared with the league average of 69%. Líšeň score an average of 2.0 goals at home and create 2.23 xG, while Sigma concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home, with 2.12 xG allowed to opponents. Although the visitors generate just 0.69 xG away from home, the hosts have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 2.0 goals. BTTS has landed in 80% of both teams’ last five matches, while Líšeň conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game, clearly increasing the likelihood of Sigma finding the net. The signal is not entirely one-sided due to the visitors’ weak away attack, but Líšeň’s vulnerable defence makes a both-teams-to-score scenario more likely.

The profile of the last five matches clearly favors goals: Líšeň’s games averaged 3.8 goals, while Sigma’s matches averaged 3.6. Líšeň conceded 14 goals during this period, or 2.8 per game, whereas Sigma scored 11 goals, averaging 2.2 per match. The visitors’ attacking potential is supported by an xG of 1.79, while the hosts allow opponents an xG of 1.81. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Líšeň’s last five matches and in all five of Sigma’s games, but the 1.5 line offers a significantly greater safety margin. Additionally, both teams scored and conceded in 80% of their respective last five matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection.

Sigma Olomouc are showing clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 points, while Líšeň have scored 1.0 goal, conceded as many as 2.8, and collected just 0.2 points per game. The visitors’ advantage is already evident before half-time, as they average 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded during this period, compared with 0.5 and 1.5 goals, respectively, for the hosts. Líšeň have not led at the break in any of their last five matches, whereas Sigma were ahead after 45 minutes in 40% of their games and have a positive first-half goal difference of +2, compared with -4 for their opponents. The hosts have a respectable average xG of 2.23, but their weak defensive record and run of four defeats in five appearances suggest that Sigma will maintain the initiative from the first half through to the final whistle.