Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData current as of 08 September 2026

Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: match statistics

135%(1.82)
X35%(3.42)
230%(4.41)

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Liverpool FC Montevideo has a disastrous home record (0% wins, 100% losses at home), which is very concerning for the hosts. On the other hand, Cerro Largo displays an ambivalent away form with 50% wins and 50% losses on the road. A key factor is the visitors' better form in the last five matches (1.8 points per game) compared to the hosts (1.0 points per game). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts in attack (1.29 vs 1.06), but simultaneously a better defense from the visitors (1.39 vs 1.94 xG Against). Considering Liverpool's weakness at home and the instability of both teams, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw, although the hosts may leverage their home advantage to secure a point.

Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Liverpool FC Montevideo played Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Liverpool FC Montevideo: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Cerro Largo: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Liverpool FC Montevideo 100%, Cerro Largo 33%. Over 2.5: Liverpool FC Montevideo 67%, Cerro Largo 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Liverpool FC Montevideo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.16. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.7 shots per match, Cerro Largo: 9.3.

Match halves

Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Cerro Largo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Liverpool FC Montevideo: 31-45+ (2 goals). Cerro Largo: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Liverpool FC Montevideo has a disastrous home record (0% wins, 100% losses at home), which is very concerning for the hosts. On the other hand, Cerro Largo displays an ambivalent away form with 50% wins and 50% losses on the road. A key factor is the visitors' better form in the last five matches (1.8 points per game) compared to the hosts (1.0 points per game). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts in attack (1.29 vs 1.06), but simultaneously a better defense from the visitors (1.39 vs 1.94 xG Against). Considering Liverpool's weakness at home and the instability of both teams, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw, although the hosts may leverage their home advantage to secure a point.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
11Shots12
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
4Shots on target4
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.4xG1.38
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
5Corners6
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
59Dangerous attacks48
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
12Fouls13
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
3Cards1
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.33Goals scored / match0.67
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.33Goals conceded / match1
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
52%Average possession47%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
3Shots on target / match2
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match9.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
3Shots on target2
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
11.4%Shot conversion7.1%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
52%Possession47%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.4xG for1.16
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.28xG against1.57
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Shooting quality

Liverpool FC Montevideo: BalancedCerro Largo: Balanced
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
Accuracy (shots on target)26%21%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1 pts / match - Cerro Largo

Liverpool FC Montevideo
WLD
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Cerro Largo
WLL
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 99% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 0.67 goals / match - Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1 goals / match - Cerro Largo

Liverpool FC Montevideo scoring profile: very strong

Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Cerro Largo scoring profile: very strong

Cerro Largo scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)2
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
4Goals conceded (season)3
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
2.67Average goals in match1.67
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
4Goals scored (last 5)2
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
33%2 goals0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%3 goals0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%4 goals0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
33%2 goals33%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%3 goals0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%4 goals0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Liverpool FC Montevideo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 3 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%Scored in both halves0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
100%BTTS - last 533%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.33 pts / match - Cerro Largo

Liverpool FC Montevideo - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Cerro Largo - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.33Average goals (1st half)1
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
33%No goal before half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
0%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo
67%No goal after half-time67%
Liverpool FC MontevideoCerro Largo

Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro Largo - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Liverpool FC Montevideo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.670.33
Goals scored / match1.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match1.31.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.33
Goals scored / match0.30.3
Goals conceded / match0.70.3
Average goals in match1.00.7
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal67%67%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Liverpool FC Montevideo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Liverpool FC MontevideoLigaCerro Largo
Average goals in match 2.672.52 1.67
Both teams scored 100%52% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%52% 33%
Clean sheets 0%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%69% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%76% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+-14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cerro LargoYellow cardJulián Pou Rosa
  2. Liverpool FC MontevideoSubstitutionOn: Renzo Neri Machado PertussoOff: Facundo Barcelo Viera
  3. Liverpool FC MontevideoGoalMartín Ernesto Rabuñal Rey
  4. Liverpool FC MontevideoSubstitutionOn: Gonzalo Nicolás de Mello CartagenaOff: Facundo Perdomo
  5. Liverpool FC MontevideoYellow cardSantiago Strasorier
  6. Liverpool FC MontevideoRed cardRamiro Matías Degregorio

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

José BurgosMatches officiated: 11
5.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 245%Home wins18%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Liverpool FC Montevideo 2 - 0 - 1 Cerro Largo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
2 : 0
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Liverpool FC Montevideo
2 : 1
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
Liverpool FC Montevideo
1 : 0
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

FAQ

What was the result of Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

The Primera División match finished Liverpool FC Montevideo 2:0 Cerro Largo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool FC Montevideo and Cerro Largo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Liverpool FC Montevideo won 2, Cerro Largo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Liverpool FC Montevideo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 0.67. The Primera División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's matches and 33% of Cerro Largo's.

What form are Liverpool FC Montevideo and Cerro Largo in?

Over the last 5 games Liverpool FC Montevideo have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Cerro Largo 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.