Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool FC Montevideo played Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.44 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool FC Montevideo 56%, Deportivo Maldonado 56%. Over 2.5: Liverpool FC Montevideo 44%, Deportivo Maldonado 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.43. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.7 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 13.2.
Match halves
Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 31-45+ (5 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool FC Montevideo holds a slight edge in chance quality and chance creation: home xG averages 1.56 versus Deportivo’s 1.49, and Liverpool averages 5.25 shots on target per game compared to 4.4 for the visitors. In attack, the hosts have scored 13 goals this season and 7 in the last 5 matches, while Deportivo also has 13 goals this season but only 4 in the last 5, indicating better short-term scoring form for Liverpool. Defensively Liverpool’s advantage is significant – the hosts concede 1.25 goals per home game on average and have kept 50% clean sheets at home, whereas Deportivo concedes 1.8 goals away and has 20% clean sheets on the road. Still, the visitors have 5 wins this season versus Liverpool’s 3, and in the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 points per game versus 1.2 for the hosts, so their results should not be underestimated. Considering the xG advantage (1.56 vs 1.49), higher number of shots on target (5.25 vs 4.4) and better defense (1.25 conceded vs 1.8), I give higher probability to a home win, although Liverpool’s high draw rate at home (50% of matches) raises the likelihood of a point share.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Liverpool FC Montevideo has a 75% clean sheet rate this season and concedes only 0.25 goals per match on average while scoring 1.5 goals, indicating a very solid home defence. Deportivo Maldonado has a seasonal BTTS rate of 80% and averages 1.4 goals per match, with an away xG of 1.49 versus xG against 1.31, showing the visitors create offensive chances. However, the hosts display superior offensive-defensive metrics: home xG 1.56 versus xG against 1.00 and an average of 5.0 shots on target and 13.75 shots per match, suggesting control and the ability to limit the opponent. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 40% and the league BTTS level is 49%, so short-term and league signals are moderate and do not outweigh the season-long defensive dominance of the hosts. Given the home clean sheet advantage (75%) and the low average goals conceded (0.25), despite the visitors' offensive numbers, the stronger and more consistent signal is 'No' (Both Teams To Score — No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Summing both teams' xG (1.56 for the home side and 1.49 for the away side = 3.05) and averaging with xG against values (1.31 and 1.00) yields a forecast of approximately 1.44 goals for Liverpool and 1.25 for Deportivo, totaling 2.69 expected goals. Liverpool scores on average 1.5 goals and concedes only 0.25 (75% clean sheets), while Deportivo averages 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, with 80% of their matches over 2.5 and 80% BTTS. As a result, Over 1.5 is the strongest signal: the expected 2.69 is well above 1.5, hence a high rating of 85% probability for Over 1.5. Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (62%) because the xG sum (~3.05) and the combined goals average (1.5+1.4=2.9) slightly favor more than 2.5 goals, but the home side's high clean sheet rate (75%) reduces confidence. Over 3.5 is rated unlikely (29%) due to 0% season Over 3.5 for the home team and Liverpool's strong defense despite the away side's offensive stats.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts are clear favorites: they have won all matches (100% wins) and led at the break in 3 of 4 appearances (75%), averaging 1.0 goal scored by half-time and only 0.25 goals conceded. After the break Liverpool Montevideo practically do not concede — their average goals conceded in second halves is 0.0 and they have 100% clean sheets after the break — which strongly supports maintaining the lead. xG and shots on target show a small but meaningful advantage for the hosts: xG 1.56 versus 1.49 and an average of 5.0 shots on target vs 4.4 for the visitors; on the other hand the visitors have a high share of matches where both teams score (80%) yet lose 60% of games. Based on these figures the safest scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and winning by full-time (1/1), which I assign a 55% probability. I allocate the remainder to a half-time draw with the hosts completing a turnaround after the break (X/1 = 20%) and a low probability of a full-time draw or an upset by the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.11 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool FC Montevideo
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 2.33 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 56%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Liverpool FC MontevideoSubstitutionOn: Renzo Neri Machado PertussoOff: Rúben Daniel Bentancourt Morales
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Liverpool FC Montevideo 0:2 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Liverpool FC Montevideo score 1.44 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's matches and 56% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Liverpool FC Montevideo and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool FC Montevideo have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.