Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional: match statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool FC Montevideo play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.15 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool FC Montevideo 45%, Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: Liverpool FC Montevideo 40%, Nacional 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.40. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.0 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40. Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 31-45+ (7 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Nacional win (2): the visitors exhibit clearer offensive efficiency, averaging 1.67 goals on the road with a 15% conversion rate, versus 1.2 goals and a 9% conversion for Liverpool at home. Additionally, Nacional has no away matches without scoring (FTS 0%), while Liverpool failed to score in 40% of home games, giving the visitors an edge in securing a goal in the match. On the other hand, the hosts create marginally better chances (home xG 1.49 versus visitors’ away xG 1.38 and 12.8 shots on average versus 11), but the low 9% conversion limits their ability to turn chances into goals. Defensively, Liverpool concedes 1.4 goals per home game, while Nacional concedes 2.0 away; combined average total goals of 2.6 (Liverpool home matches) and 3.67 (Nacional away matches) point to an open, high-scoring duel. In the last 5 matches Nacional scored 9 goals and averages 1.4 points in that period, versus 8 goals and 1.0 points for Liverpool, so I give the visitors slightly higher chances — 45% for Nacional, 30% for a draw and 25% for Liverpool.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.4 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.52 goals / match - Nacional
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.33 goals / match - Nacional
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liverpool FC Montevideo
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.24 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Liverpool FC Montevideo 0 - 1 - 1 Nacional. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Liverpool FC Montevideo 1:3 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool FC Montevideo and Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Liverpool FC Montevideo won 0, Nacional won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional?
Liverpool FC Montevideo score 1.15 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.52. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's matches and 57% of Nacional's.
What form are Liverpool FC Montevideo and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool FC Montevideo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nacional 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.