Liverpool vs Burnley: match statistics
Liverpool decisively outperforms Burnley in every statistical metric. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference (+5) and averaging 1.5 goals scored per home game while conceding just 1. Burnley displays disastrous away form with an 80% defeat rate, a goal difference of -14, and zero clean sheets. The gap in possession quality (62% vs 40%) and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.03 xG) further confirms Liverpool's superiority. The recent form of both teams (Liverpool: 1.8 PPG vs Burnley: 1.0 PPG), combined with the fact that the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, makes a home win the most probable scenario. Burnley may offer resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw, but their defensive frailty in away games (averaging 2.6 goals conceded) practically rules out their success.
Liverpool vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool played Burnley in Premier League (England). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Liverpool: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Burnley: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.05 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool 57%, Burnley 57%. Over 2.5: Liverpool 62%, Burnley 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.05. Liverpool: 14.7 shots per match, Burnley: 8.9.
Match halves
Liverpool: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.10. Burnley: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Liverpool: 76-90+ (12 goals). Burnley: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool decisively outperforms Burnley in every statistical metric. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference (+5) and averaging 1.5 goals scored per home game while conceding just 1. Burnley displays disastrous away form with an 80% defeat rate, a goal difference of -14, and zero clean sheets. The gap in possession quality (62% vs 40%) and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.03 xG) further confirms Liverpool's superiority. The recent form of both teams (Liverpool: 1.8 PPG vs Burnley: 1.0 PPG), combined with the fact that the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, makes a home win the most probable scenario. Burnley may offer resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw, but their defensive frailty in away games (averaging 2.6 goals conceded) practically rules out their success.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Liverpool is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Liverpool · 0.6 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Liverpool · 1.05 goals / match - Burnley
Liverpool is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Liverpool · 1.95 goals / match - Burnley
Liverpool scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Burnley scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Liverpool · 0.71 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Liverpool 1 - 0 - 0 Burnley. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Liverpool 1:1 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool vs Burnley?
Liverpool score 1.52 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.05. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Liverpool's matches and 57% of Burnley's.
What form are Liverpool and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Burnley 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool vs Burnley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.