Liverpool vs Manchester City: match statistics
Liverpool are displaying impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts average 2.01 xG in home matches against just 1.13 xG conceded, demonstrating offensive dominance and solid defence. Manchester City, despite their higher league position, have weaker away stats – only a 42% win rate and a poorer shot conversion rate (1.44 xG per away match). Liverpool are on an excellent run in their last five home games, while City have inconsistent away form with a 33% loss rate. The advantage in ball possession (62% vs 59%) and the hosts' significantly higher shot volume (18.17 shots on average) point towards a home victory, although Manchester City's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool play Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match date is 8 February 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Liverpool: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Manchester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool scores 1.66 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool 68%, Manchester City 50%. Over 2.5: Liverpool 61%, Manchester City 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.73. Liverpool: 15.5 shots per match, Manchester City: 15.6.
Match halves
Liverpool: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.03. Manchester City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Liverpool: 76-90+ (20 goals). Manchester City: 31-45+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Liverpool are displaying impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts average 2.01 xG in home matches against just 1.13 xG conceded, demonstrating offensive dominance and solid defence. Manchester City, despite their higher league position, have weaker away stats – only a 42% win rate and a poorer shot conversion rate (1.44 xG per away match). Liverpool are on an excellent run in their last five home games, while City have inconsistent away form with a 33% loss rate. The advantage in ball possession (62% vs 59%) and the hosts' significantly higher shot volume (18.17 shots on average) point towards a home victory, although Manchester City's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Liverpool · 1.6 pts / match - Manchester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Liverpool · 2.03 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Liverpool · 0.92 goals / match - Manchester City
Liverpool scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Manchester City scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liverpool
Over / Under — Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Liverpool · 2.18 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Liverpool 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool vs Manchester City?
The Premier League match finished Liverpool 1:2 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool score 1.66 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.03. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Liverpool's matches and 50% of Manchester City's.
What form are Liverpool and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Manchester City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.