Liverpool vs Manchester City: match statistics
Liverpool are displaying impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts average 2.01 xG in home matches against just 1.13 xG conceded, demonstrating offensive dominance and solid defence. Manchester City, despite their higher league position, have weaker away stats – only a 42% win rate and a poorer shot conversion rate (1.44 xG per away match). Liverpool are on an excellent run in their last five home games, while City have inconsistent away form with a 33% loss rate. The advantage in ball possession (62% vs 59%) and the hosts' significantly higher shot volume (18.17 shots on average) point towards a home victory, although Manchester City's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool played Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Liverpool: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Manchester City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool scores 1.63 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.04 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool 63%, Manchester City 46%. Over 2.5: Liverpool 63%, Manchester City 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.67. Liverpool: 15.5 shots per match, Manchester City: 14.1.
Match halves
Liverpool: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08. Manchester City: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Liverpool: 76-90+ (14 goals). Manchester City: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool are displaying impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts average 2.01 xG in home matches against just 1.13 xG conceded, demonstrating offensive dominance and solid defence. Manchester City, despite their higher league position, have weaker away stats – only a 42% win rate and a poorer shot conversion rate (1.44 xG per away match). Liverpool are on an excellent run in their last five home games, while City have inconsistent away form with a 33% loss rate. The advantage in ball possession (62% vs 59%) and the hosts' significantly higher shot volume (18.17 shots on average) point towards a home victory, although Manchester City's quality means a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Liverpool · 2.04 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Liverpool · 0.96 goals / match - Manchester City
Liverpool scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
Manchester City scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool
Over / Under - Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Liverpool · 2.25 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 58%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Liverpool 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool vs Manchester City?
The Premier League match finished Liverpool 1:2 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool score 1.63 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.04. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Liverpool's matches and 46% of Manchester City's.
What form are Liverpool and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Manchester City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.